Free Week 5 Prediction: Cougars vs. Rockets Odds
Looking for BYU Cougars vs. Toledo Rockets free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Cougars taking on the Rockets Saturday September 28th at Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this BYU Toledo Week 5 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(2-2) BYU Cougars vs. Toledo Rockets (2-1)
Date: Saturday, September 28th 2019
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Glass Bowl, Toledo, Ohio
NCAA Football Spread: BYU -2.5
NCAA Betting Total: 60.5
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This week five matchup will see the BYU Cougars, an independent, take on the Toledo Rockets, out of the MAC.
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These teams last met in 2016. This was a shootout and ended with a BYU win. The score to this game was 55-53.
BYU Cougars
The Cougars have clearly had an up and down season so far. They lost the Holy War to Utah, then went and beat Tennessee and USC. They then got blown out by Washington at home last week.
The Cougars’ offense has been lackluster so far and are just not generating enough points. They only score 22.5 points per game. This ranks 105th in the country. Their yards gained per game is also not great. They rack up 356.2 total yards per game, which is also 105th in the country.
Zach Wilson is going to be the obvious key for the Cougars this week. He has thrown for 997 yards this season and three touchdowns. However, he has also thrown three interceptions.
An interesting trend shows that the Cougars are 2-0 when Wilson does not throw an interception, but 0-2 when he throw at least one pick. Thus showing the importance of taking care of the ball.
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The defense has not been great for the Cougars and were torched last week for 45 points. They allow an average of 32 points per game. This ranks 101st in the country.
Their biggest weakness is their run defense through the first four games of the season. They allow an average of 215.5 yards on the ground per game, ranking them at 116th in the country.
The Rockets love to run the ball, so keeping them in check will be a major key in winning this game on the road.
Toledo Rockets
Other than a week one loss at Kentucky, the Rockets have dominated their opponents. They are coming off a 41-35 win over Colorado State, so they have shown they can hang around with teams outside of their conference.
Even against Kentucky, they managed to hang around for awhile before being overpowered by SEC talent.
Their offense has still been clicking through the first couple games and they are now averaging 36.7 points per game. This is 34th in the country, so scoring has not been an issue at all.
Their rushing offense is where they really excel, averaging 269 yards on the ground per game. This ranks 11th in the country. the only problem with being extremely run heavy is if it does not work, they may be out of luck. Look for the Rockets to establish the run very early so they can control the game from the start.
Defensively, they are allowing just 24.3 points per game, but are allowing way too many yards per game. They allow an average of 482.3 total yards per game. This ranks 119th out of 130th in the FBS.
Their passing offense in particular needs a lot of work. They allow an average of 283 yards per game through the air. This ranks 113th in the country and should be a major focus point when going up against Zach Wilson and the Cougars.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 6-2 in BYU last 8 games in September.
- Under is 13-5 in BYU last 18 road games.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Pick
This game seems very evenly matched, but I like the Cougars to win this game behind Zach Wilson. They played a terrible game last week against Washington and I believe they will bounce back and be able to win on the road.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: UNDER 60.5
A total set at around 60.5 feels way too high for this game. I think both teams could score in the 20’s, but I still like the under to be the play in this game.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: BYU 28 – Toledo 24
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