BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears 9/28/2024 Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction

Free NCAA Pick: BYU vs. Baylor Odds

Looking for BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cougars taking on the Bears on Saturday, September 28th at the McLane Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this BYU Baylor matchup.

2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5

(4-0) BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears (2-2)
Date: Saturday, September 28th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) BYU +3.5 | Baylor -3.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: BYU +136 | Baylor -164
College Football Betting Total: O/U 45.5

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BYU is coming into this week five matchup with a 4-0 record, and they are on the road vs. the Baylor Bears. The game is set for 12:00 ET at McLane Stadium in Waco and will be broadcast on FS1. The over/under line is at 45.5 points, and Baylor is the -3.5 point favorite at home. The Bears are 2-2 so far this season.

BYU Cougars

BYU is now 4-0 after their 38-9 victory over Kansas State. The Cougars, who were +7.5 point underdogs, not only won the game but also covered the spread. This was a big win for BYU, as it came against a Big 12 opponent. The over/under line was set at 49.5 points, but the combined score of 47 points fell short, resulting in the under hitting.

BYU took control early, leading 3-0 after the first quarter. Kansas State briefly took a 6-3 lead in the second quarter, but the Cougars responded by outscoring them 14-3 to lead 17-6 at halftime. BYU extended their lead to 31-9 by the end of the third quarter and added one more touchdown in the fourth quarter to secure the win.

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BYU Cougars Stats

BYU’s offense, led by quarterback Jake Retzlaff, put up 319 yards of total offense in their 38-9 win over Kansas State. Retzlaff completed 15 of 21 passes for 149 yards and two touchdowns, ending the game with a passer rating of 122.92. His top target, Chase Roberts, hauled in two receptions for 47 yards and one touchdown.

The Cougars’ ground game was effective, with 170 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Sione Moa led the way with 76 yards on 15 carries, averaging 5.1 yards per attempt, and also found the end zone once.

BYU’s defense was effective in their most recent game, holding Kansas State to just 139 passing yards on 16 completions. The Cougars’ secondary also came up with two interceptions, helping to limit the Wildcats to 367 total yards. However, BYU struggled to stop the run, giving up 228 rushing yards on 43 attempts.

Baylor Bears

Baylor is now 2-2 for the season after a 38-31 road loss to Colorado. The Bears, who were +2.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread and lost straight-up. The combined score of 69 points surpassed the over/under line of 52.5 points.

Trailing 7-3 after the first quarter, Baylor outscored Colorado 21-10 in the second quarter to take a 24-17 lead at halftime. However, the Bears were shut out in the third quarter, and the Buffaloes added a touchdown in the fourth quarter to send the game to overtime, where Baylor was outscored 7-0.

Baylor Bears Stats

In their 38-31 road loss to Colorado, Baylor’s offense put up 314 yards, with 166 yards coming on the ground. The Bears picked up 15 first downs and scored two touchdowns through the air.

Quarterback Sawyer Robertson completed 11 of 21 passes for 148 yards, two touchdowns, and a passer rating of 106.85. Robertson also led the team in rushing with 82 yards on nine carries, including a rushing touchdown. Hal Presley was the top receiver, with two catches for 43 yards.

In their 38-31 loss to Colorado, Baylor’s defense allowed 433 total yards, with most of the damage coming through the air. The Bears gave up 341 passing yards on 25 completions, and they were unable to come up with an interception. On the ground, Baylor’s defense was more effective, holding Colorado to just 92 yards rushing. However, they did allow three rushing touchdowns.

BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Football Betting Trends

• The BYU Cougars are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
• Conversely, the Baylor Bears are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
• Also, the BYU Cougars are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the Baylor Bears have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
• Over the BYU Cougars’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
• The Baylor Bears’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.

4* Free 2024 Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: BYU +3.5

BYU comes into this game as the road underdog vs. Baylor, but we like their chances to not only cover the +3.5 point spread but to win the game straight-up. Our projected final score is 26-20 in favor of BYU. If you are looking for a good value bet, consider taking BYU on the money line.

With the over/under line sitting at 45.5 points, our projection of 46 points suggests that the over is OK for a small side bet for this matchup.

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BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day

Back home 🟡#SicEm pic.twitter.com/caoIYEkPrZ

— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) September 23, 2024

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About Brent Matousek

Brent is a Cappers Picks regular contributor since 2014. He was not new to betting back then, and he's even better now! Gambling since the first day he turned 18.

Filed Under: College Football