Free NCAA Pick: Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Odds
Looking for Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Falcons taking on the Broncos on Tuesday, November 21st at the Waldo Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Bowling Green Western Michigan matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(6-5) Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos (4-7)
Date: Tuesday, November 21st
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI
NCAA Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Bowling Green -1.5 | Western Michigan +1.5
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Bowling Green -123 | Western Michigan +101
College Football Betting Total: O/U 54.5
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Bowling Green (6-5, 4-3 MAC) and Western Michigan (4-7, 3-4) are facing off on Tuesday evening at Waldo Stadium, with the game set to kick off at 7 p.m. ET (You can catch it on ESPNU).
The latest betting odds show that Bowling Green is favored with a Moneyline of -120, while Western Michigan stands at +100. Additionally, the Against the Spread (ATS) line for Bowling Green is -1.5 with odds of -110. As for the Over/Under (O/U) total, it’s set at 53.5.
In their recent games, Bowling Green suffered a close 32-31 loss against the Toledo Rockets last Tuesday, while Western Michigan had a tough time, failing to cover as a 4-point underdog in a 24-0 loss to NIU.
If you’re looking for insights on this matchup, stay tuned to our NFL Football handicapping & Gambling Blog for more information.
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Bowling Green currently holds the bragging rights over Western Michigan as in their most recent head to head matchup, they won 13-9.
Both side’s struggled to move the ball through the air, with Bowling Green finishing the game with 161 compared to Bowling Green’s 191.
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Bowling Green Falcons
This week, Bowling Green is hoping to bounce back from a tough 32-31 loss to the Toledo Rockets.
Bowling Green’s average scoring differential for the season is +0.9 leading to an ATS mark of 6-4. The Falcons have been favored three times and the underdog in seven games
So far in this season, Bowling Green has posted an over/under record of 7-3.
On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 50.4 points, with the typical over/under line set at 45.3 points.
Bowling Green Falcons Stats
Bowling Green’s offense has put up an average of 25.6 points per game, placing them 64th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 182.3 passing yards on average, ranking 107th in the nation.
On the ground, they’re holding the 88th position in rushing yards, with 375 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Falcons defense comes into the game with 28 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 24.7 points per game (95th).
When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 50th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 199 passing yards per game. Additionally, Bowling Green’s run defense comes in allowing 137.8 rushing yards per contest.
The Falcons’ passing game featured 46 pass attempts for 309 yards and two scores vs. Toledo.
In the rushing department, they averaged 2.7 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
Western Michigan Broncos
The Broncos could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. Northern Illinois, as they trailed 7-0 after the first period. Western Michigan ended up dropping the game 24-0.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Bowling Green, the Broncos have been favored in three games and the underdog in seven.
Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-4.
Western Michigan has an over/under record of 7-3 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 56.5 points with the average over/under line being 51.8 points.
Western Michigan Broncos Stats
On the offensive side, Western Michigan has averaged 24.9 points per game this season. This figure has them 66th in the NCAA.
Their passing game, averaging 219.2 passing yards, is ranked 76th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 66th in rushing yards with an average of 433 rushing attempts per contest this season.
Offensively, the Broncos, didn’t score vs. Northern Illinois. Overall, they threw for 182 yards on 31 attempts. In the running game, they averaged 1.3 yards per attempt for a total of 24 yards.
The Broncos’ defense has given up 162.4 rushing yards per game this season, which is 107th. Opponents are recording an average of 235.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 93 when playing against Western Michigan.
In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 23rd in NCAA rankings.
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Broncos are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Falcons are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Broncos have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Broncos’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Falcons | -115 | -122 | -1 | -1.5 |
Broncos | -106 | +101 | +1 | +1.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Western Michigan +1.5
Even though I’m backing Bowling Green to win this one outright, I’d advise going with the moneyline. This game might turn out to be tighter than expected, but I anticipate Bowling Green securing a victory over Western Michigan.
Bowling Green are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, and 4-1 SU in their last 5.
The Bowling Green passing game has faced issues with turnovers. As the underdogs at home, my pick is Western Michigan to cover the spread at +1.5.
Western Michigan are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 54.5.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Western Michigan’s last 9 games, plus the OVER has hit in 5 of Western Michigan’s last 7 against MAC Conference teams.
This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 55 points.
Also, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Bowling Green’s last 5.
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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
We’ll be there!
One last ride.
See you tomorrow at Waldo.#EAT | #BroncosReign pic.twitter.com/r5zTyGeneB
— Western Michigan Football (@WMU_Football) November 21, 2023
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