Free NCAA Pick: Bowling Green vs. Liberty Odds
Looking for Bowling Green Falcons vs. Liberty Flames free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Falcons taking on the Flames on Saturday, September 2nd at the Williams Stadium (VA). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Bowling Green Liberty matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Bowling Green Falcons vs. Liberty Flames (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 2nd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Williams Stadium (VA)
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Bowling Green +10 | Liberty -10
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Bowling Green +278 | Liberty -367
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50
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Bowling Green and Liberty did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 0-3. Against the spread, each team also went 1-2 and finished with an over/under mark of 1-2. These games averaged a combined 43 points per contest.
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Bowling Green Falcons
Last season, Bowling Green finished with an overall record of 6-7, which included going 2-3 in Mid-American – East action. In the Mid-American – East they finished in 3rd place and finished the season with 24-19 loss to New Mexico State Aggies in the Quick Lane Bowl. Against non-conference opponents, the Falcons went 4-4.
Bowling Green Falcons Stats
At the quarterback position, the Falcons will need to replace the production of last year’s leading passer (Matt McDonald). For the season, he completed 60.9% of his passes for 2666 yards and 22 touchdowns. Bowling Green’s leading returning QB is Camden Orth who threw for 378 yards last season.
In the running game, the Falcons’ leading returning running back is Jaison Patterson (junior) who ran for 583 yards last season. Bowling Green’s top returning wide receiver is Odieu Hiliare. The senior caught 59 passes for 763 yards last season.
On the defensive side of the ball, Bowling Green finished the season ranked 143rd in points allowed. For the season, opponents averaged 32.5 game. Overall, they were 24th in quarterback hurries and 10th in sacks. Opponents ran for 168.9 yards per game and threw for 250.7 against them.
Liberty Flames
Liberty capped last season with a 21-19 loss to Toledo in the Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl. The Flames’ overall record last season was 8-5, putting them 4th in the Conference USA. Against non-conference teams, Liberty went 8-4.
Liberty Flames Stats
Johnathan Bennett is the team’s top returning passer after throwing for 1534 last year. For the season, he had 12 passing touchdowns and completed 58.3% of his passes.
In the running game, the Flames’ leading returning running back is Malik Caper (senior) who ran for 32 yards last season. Liberty’s top returning wide receiver is Noah Frith. The senior caught 24 passes for 424 yards last season.
On the defensive side of the ball, Liberty finished the season ranked 93rd in points allowed. For the season, opponents averaged 24.6 game. Overall, they were 41st in quarterback hurries and 3rd in sacks. Opponents ran for 146.2 yards per game and threw for 199.6 against them.
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Liberty Flames NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Flames are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Falcons are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Flames have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Flames’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bowling Green vs. Liberty Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | +375 | +278 | +12.5 | +10 |
| Flames | -500 | -367 | -12.5 | -10 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Liberty -10
To kick off the season, look for Liberty to not only pick up the win but to cover the spread as 10-point favorites. Even though favorites, covered at a rate of just 46.9% last season, I see still see Liberty covering vs. Bowling Green.
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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Liberty Flames NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/LibertyFootball/status/1697362942872743990
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