Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs 11/16/2024 Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction

Free NCAA Pick: Boston College vs. SMU Odds

Looking for Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Eagles taking on the Mustangs on Saturday, November 16th at the Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Boston College SMU matchup.

2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12

(5-4) Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs (8-1)
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX
Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Boston College +16.5 | SMU -16.5
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: Boston College +533 | SMU -805
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53.5

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Boston College Eagles and SMU Mustangs clash in what promises to be a fascinating showdown, marking just their third-ever meeting on the gridiron. The series is knotted at 1-1, with BC snagging the last win—a gritty 23-14 victory on their home turf back on December 28, 2023.

Both teams bring a blend of history and momentum to the table, making this matchup more than just another game; it’s a battle for bragging rights. Expect a chess match of strategic adjustments, as these squads aim to break the tie in a high-stakes contest.

SMU comes into this matchup as the heavy favorite with a -16.5 point spread as they host Boston College at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas.

The game is set for 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th, and ESPN will be covering the action.

The over/under line is at 53.5 points. Boston College has a 5-4 record, while SMU has been excellent this season, sitting at 8-1 overall.

Whether it’s the Eagles’ relentless defense or the Mustangs’ dynamic offense, this game has all the makings of a thriller for fans and bettors alike!

Boston College Eagles

Boston College enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, but they have no chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. However, they still have a 75.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Eagles are 3-1 at home this season but have struggled on the road with a 1-3 record. So far, they’ve been favored in three games and are 3-0 as the favorite.

Boston College’s ATS record is 4-4, and they have an average scoring margin of +4.6 points per game. Their road ATS record is 2-2, and they are 1-2 against the spread as the favorite this season.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 53.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Boston College’s over/under record is 3-5, with an average line of 50.3 points and an average combined score of 50.6 points per game.

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Boston College Eagles Stats

Boston College’s offense is averaging 27.6 points per game heading into week 12, ranking 54th in the nation. In our offensive power rankings, they are 66th. Their rushing game is the focal point, with 39.7 attempts per game, placing them 24th nationally, and they are averaging 180.8 rushing yards per game.

Kye Robichaux leads the ground attack with 471 yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos has thrown for 1,366 yards with 18 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 113. Lewis Bond, the top receiver, has 438 yards and three touchdowns on 44 catches.

Boston College’s defense has allowed 23 points per game this season, ranking 41st nationally. In their recent game against Syracuse, they gave up 31 points but limited the Orange to just 39 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Syracuse did most of their damage through the air, throwing for 392 yards and two touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 243.3 passing yards per game against Boston College, ranking the Eagles 124th in the nation. Quarterbacks have completed 61.4% of their passes and posted a passer rating of 77.8. On the ground, Boston College is allowing 131 rushing yards per game, which ranks 53rd nationally.

SMU Mustangs

SMU enters Week 12 with an 8-1 record, ranked 17th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 35.2% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. Nationally, they have the 14th best odds to make the playoff at 36.2%.

The Mustangs have a +18.3 average scoring margin this season and are 5-2 against the spread. They’ve been favored in five games, going 3-2 ATS as the favorite, and have covered in both games as the underdog.

SMU’s over/under record is 4-3, with their games averaging 61.9 points. This week’s line is 53.5, slightly below their average line of 53.8 points.

SMU Mustangs Stats

SMU’s offense has been strong this season, ranking 6th in the nation with 40.1 points per game. They are 30th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their ground game is their strength, averaging 203.8 rushing yards per game on 40.2 attempts.

Brashard Smith leads the rushing attack with 903 yards, 11 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Kevin Jennings has thrown for 1,900 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 106.

SMU’s defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 9th nationally by allowing just 91.7 rushing yards per game. In their recent game, they held Pittsburgh to 127 rushing yards on 32 attempts and forced two interceptions, while giving up 165 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged a 54.2% completion rate against SMU, totaling 251 passing yards per game. The defense is ranked 32nd in the country, allowing 21.8 points per game this season.

Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs NCAA Football Betting Trends

• The Boston College Eagles are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
• Conversely, the SMU Mustangs are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
• Also, the Boston College Eagles are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the SMU Mustangs have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
• Over the Boston College Eagles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
• The SMU Mustangs’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.

4* Free 2024 Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: Boston College +16.5

Our projections have SMU winning this matchup 32-24 over Boston College, but with Boston College coming in as +16.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread. SMU is the heavy favorite, but we see this one being closer than expected.

For the over/under, with the line set at 53.5 points, we have these two teams combining for 56 points, making the over our preferred play.

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Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day

The same plane that led the D-Day invasion on the beaches of Normandy in France will be a part of the flyover over Ford Stadium on Saturday, thanks to a lot of hard work and a little bit of luck. pic.twitter.com/JuAAZYdOKq

— SMU Football (@SMUFB) November 15, 2024

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About Kyle Knecht

New to Cappers Picks but not new to the world of online sports gambling. Kyle Knecht is a lifelong sports fan from Jacksonville, Florida that has a passion for sports and sports betting. He has coached and played college sports for 10 years so he has seen sports from the inside and knows how it operates. After he got out of coaching he picked up sports betting and has found a true niche with watching games and analyzing their outcomes. He is looking to share his expertise and knowledge with others to help turn a profit in the sports betting world.

Filed Under: College Football