Free NCAA Pick: Boise State vs. UNLV Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels free NCAA Week 14 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Broncos taking on the Rebels on Saturday, December 2nd at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Boise State UNLV matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
(7-5) Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels (9-3)
2023 Mountain West Conference Championship Game
Date: Saturday, December 2nd
Time: 3:00 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
NCAA Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Boise State -3 | UNLV +3
Week 14 CFB Moneyline Odds: Boise State -151 | UNLV +122
College Football Betting Total: O/U 58.5
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Boise State and UNLV did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, Boise State has a record of 2-1.
The over/under record in these games was 2-1 with the teams averaging 70 points per game combined. Boise State went 2-1 vs. the spread.
In this year’s MWC, a computer ranking was used to determine first place in a three-way tie. UNLV took the top spot, followed by Boise State in second, and San Jose State in third. Now, we have a matchup, and historically, Boise State has won eight out of 11 meetings against the Rebels.
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Boise State Broncos
Boise State’s most recent game ended in a 27-19 win over Air Force.
This week, the Broncos will once again look to get off to a strong start, as they took a eight-point leading into halftime vs. Air Force.
Heading into this week’s matchup with UNLV, the Broncos have been favored in seven games and the underdog in four. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 5-5-1.
Through 12 games, the average over/under line in Boise State’s games is 55.4 points. Their games have averaged a combined 57.2 points leading to an OU record of 7-4.
Boise State Broncos Stats
On offense, Boise State comes into the game averaging 32, which is 34th in the NCAA.
On average, they are averaging 229.6 passing yards (60th) compared to 11th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 467 rushing attempts per contest.
The Broncos’ defense has given up 127.2 rushing yards per game this season, which is 170th. Opponents are recording an average of 254.8 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 87.2 when playing against Boise State. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 59th in NCAA rankings.
Offensively, the Broncos finished with two scores on the ground against Air Force while running for 184 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Boise State scored one time and threw the ball 17 times for 228 yards.
UNLV Rebels
This week, UNLV will be looking for another big game from their offense, but some better defensive play as they most recently loss to San Jose State 37-31.
So far, UNLV has been favored six times and the underdog in five games.
This has led to an ATS record of 9-2 and an average scoring differential of +9.9.
This season, UNLV holds an over/under record of 7-4. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 61.1 points, with the typical over/under line set at 54.8 points.
UNLV Rebels Stats
UNLV comes into the game with an offense averaging 35.5, which places them at 17th in the NCAA rankings.
Their passing game has them ranked 55th nationally, with an average of 236.6 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 26th in the nation, with 482 rushing attempts per game for the season.
Through the air, the Rebels’ attempted 29 passes against San Jose State, gaining 229 yards and securing one score. On the ground, they maintained an average of 5.7 yards per carry, resulting in three rushing touchdowns.
UNLV’s defense ranks 100th in points allowed, with 25.6 points given up per game.
Teams have been averaging 239.8 passing yards against them (119th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 152.6 rushing yards, putting them 89th in college football.
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Broncos are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Rebels have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Rebels’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Boise State vs. UNLV Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Broncos | -135 | -152 | -2 | -3 |
Rebels | +115 | +123 | +2 | +3 |
4* Free MWC Championship NCAA Betting Prediction: UNLV +3
Get ready for some MWC Championship action in Las Vegas! It’s the Boise State Broncos (7-5, 5-6 ATS) taking on the UNLV Rebels (9-3, 9-2 ATS) on December 2, 2023, starting at 3:00 PM ET, and you can catch it on FOX.
The Broncos are coming off a 27-19 victory over the Air Force Falcons, while the Rebels suffered a 37-31 loss to the San Jose State Spartans in their last outing.
In this matchup, the Broncos are the favorites by a field goal, and the total points expected in the game is set at 58.5.
While I have Boise State to come out on top, I’d recommend going with the moneyline. This game could turn out to be closer than anticipated, but I do see Boise State securing the win against UNLV.
With UNLV running the ball well against San Jose State and Boise State’s defense showing vulnerability against the run vs. Air Force, I’m leaning towards UNLV at +3 for this matchup.
So far this season, we’ve made some good money betting college over/under lines. At 58.5, we have this game going over with a combined 59 points.
Recent college football trends are shedding light on UNLV’s impressive performance. They’ve notched a remarkable 10-2 ATS (against the spread) record in their last 12 games and an equally impressive 8-2 SU (straight-up) record in their last 10 games.
When playing at home, UNLV seems nearly unbeatable, boasting a 6-1 SU record in their last 7 home games. On the other side, Boise State has struggled in December, going 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played during this month.
Additionally, when Boise State hits the road, the total points tend to go OVER, with the OVER hitting in 5 of their last 6 road games and in 7 of their last 10 games overall.
UNLV, too, sees a lot of high-scoring games, with the total points going OVER in 7 of their last 10 games.
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Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Championship Saturday!
The scene is set
12 pm
Boise State at UNLVhttps://t.co/wDbgPpAp5a pic.twitter.com/weZfW5gs3t
— UNLV Football (@unlvfootball) November 26, 2023
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