Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels 10/25/2024 Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction

Free NCAA Pick: Boise State vs. UNLV Odds

Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels free NCAA Week 9 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Broncos taking on the Rebels on Friday, October 25th at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Boise State UNLV matchup.

2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 9

(5-1) Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels (6-1)
Date: Friday, October 25th
Time: 10:30 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Week 9 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Boise State -3 | UNLV +3
Week 9 CFB Moneyline Odds: Boise State -146 | UNLV +121
College Football Betting Total: O/U 65.5

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Week 9 of the college football season is here, and the excitement is real! Boise State (5-1) heads to the desert to take on a red-hot UNLV (6-1) squad in a game that has all the makings of a Friday night thriller. The Broncos have dominated this series historically, leading 9-3, and they rolled over the Rebels last year in a 44-20 victory.

But this year, UNLV is no pushover—they’re a legitimate contender, and this one’s shaping up to be a battle.

UNLV comes into this matchup with a 6-1 record this season, while Boise State is 5-1. The game is set for Friday, October 25th, with kick-off at 10:30 ET from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

You can catch the action on CBSS, with Boise State being the -3-point favorite on the road.

The money line odds are -146 for Boise State and +121 for UNLV, and the over/under line is at 65.5 points.

Boise State Broncos

Boise State enters Week 9 with a 5-1 record and a 21st-place spot in our power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 62.6% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Broncos also have a 46.0% chance of making the CFB playoff, which ranks 11th in the nation.

They are 2-0 at home and 2-1 on the road this season. Boise State is 4-0 as the favorite and 0-1 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of +20.7 points per game. Against the spread, they are 3-1-1, going 2-0 at home and 1-1-1 on the road.

Their over/under record is 4-1, with an average line of 62.2 points. This week’s total is set at 65.5 points. Boise State games have averaged 73 points, with four contests exceeding this week’s line and three falling below it.

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Boise State Broncos Stats

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 292.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 4th in the nation. Ashton Jeanty has been the key player, rushing for 1,248 yards and scoring 17 touchdowns while averaging 9 yards per carry. The Broncos are 3rd in scoring, with 46.8 points per game, and they have converted 54.4% of their third-down attempts, the 4th best in college football. They are ranked 7th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,273 yards with 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 108, and Boise State ranks 86th in passing yards per game. Cameron Camper leads the team’s receivers with 441 yards and 4 touchdowns.

Boise State’s defense has allowed 26.2 points per game this season, but they gave up just 7 points in their recent win against Hawaii. They allowed 300 total yards, including 104 rushing yards on 22 attempts and 196 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

Opponents have averaged 276.3 passing yards per game against Boise State, completing 66.9% of their throws. On the ground, however, Boise State has been strong, ranking 25th nationally by allowing just 105.8 rushing yards per game.

UNLV Rebels

UNLV enters Week 9 with a 6-1 record, hosting Boise State. They are ranked 40th in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. The Rebels also have a 29.1% chance of winning the Mountain West and hold the 21st best odds to make the CFB playoff at 18.2%.

UNLV has been favored in three of their seven games, going 3-0 as the favorite. They are 4-0 on the road and 1-0 at home, with a +21 average scoring margin and a 4-1 record against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week is 65.5 points, compared to their average line of 57.8. UNLV’s over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 66.1 points per contest.

UNLV Rebels Stats

UNLV’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 5th in points per game with 43.6. They are also 3rd in rushing yards, averaging 252.6 yards per game on the ground. Our power rankings place them 27th heading into week 9.

Hajj-Malik Williams leads the team with 838 passing yards and a passer rating of 128. Ricky White III has caught 46 passes for 614 yards and 9 touchdowns.

UNLV’s defense has been solid against the run, allowing just 104.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the nation. In their recent game against Oregon State, they gave up 137 rushing yards on 37 attempts but held the Beavers to 0 passing touchdowns, despite allowing 231 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged a 68.8 passer rating against UNLV, completing 59% of their passes. On average, UNLV’s defense has faced 42.9 pass attempts per game, giving up 278.7 passing yards per contest.

Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels NCAA Football Betting Trends

• The Boise State Broncos are 2-2-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
• Conversely, the UNLV Rebels are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
• Also, the Boise State Broncos are 3-5-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the UNLV Rebels have gone 9-1 across their last ten home games.
• Over the Boise State Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
• The UNLV Rebels’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.

4* Free 2024 Week 9 NCAA Betting Prediction: UNLV +3

Now, let’s talk betting. Boise State comes in as a 3-point favorite, but the real action might be on the total. The Over/Under is set at a tantalizing 65.5, and there’s a whole lot of reasons to love the over here.

The Broncos are an over machine, with the total going over in 8 of their last 9 games, including 8 of their last 10 on the road. UNLV? They’re no slouch when it comes to lighting up the scoreboard either—the total has gone over in 7 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 5 at home.

With the over/under line set at 65.5 points, our projection of 71 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this Boise State vs. UNLV matchup.

We have Boise State winning by a slim margin of 36-35, so UNLV is a good bet as the +3 point underdogs.

UNLV is the pick as the +3 point underdogs.

Both teams are humming offensively, and with these trends, all signs point to a shootout under the Friday night lights. Buckle up, because this one’s going to be fireworks!

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Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Rebels NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day

The ring awaits…@jackson_wood23 | @shookstonelaw pic.twitter.com/XMen9xV3pv

— UNLV Football (@unlvfootball) October 23, 2024

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About Carl Taylor

Carl “End Game” Taylor has been engulfed in the sports betting lifestyle for over 20 years. His gambling defeats early on could've put triplets through an Ivy League education. The positive is that now from those lessons learned he enjoys a much better windfall than a piece of paper from Brown or Harvard. Stay tuned for Carl's daily sports betting picks and winning advice.

Filed Under: College Football