Free NCAA Pick: Boise State vs. San Jose State Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Broncos taking on the Spartans on Saturday, November 16th at the CEFCU Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Boise State San Jose State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(8-1) Boise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans (6-3)
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Boise State -13.5 | San Jose State +13.5
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: Boise State -552 | San Jose State +399
College Football Betting Total: O/U 61.5
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Boise State vs. San Jose State is shaping up to be a classic Mountain West clash, and the stakes couldn’t be higher! Boise State dominates this series historically with a 15-1 record, but 2024’s storyline is all about momentum.
The Broncos, riding an impressive 4-1-1 ATS streak, are eyeing the expanded College Football Playoff at 8-1, with their only stumble coming against Oregon. Meanwhile, the Spartans are fighting for survival, sitting at 3-2 in conference play but struggling ATS at 1-4.
Boise State is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against San Jose State, with the point spread currently at -13.5 in their favor. The game is set to kick off at 7:00 ET from CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, and you can catch the action on CBSS.
The Broncos are 8-1 for the season, while the Spartans are 6-3. The over/under line is at 61.5 points for this game.
This matchup screams opportunity for Boise to flex its playoff muscle, while San Jose State faces a must-win scenario to keep postseason hopes alive.
It’s a battle of trajectories, and all eyes will be on the Broncos’ relentless push for glory.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State enters Week 12 with an 8-1 record, aiming to secure a spot in the Mountain West title game. They have a 75.8% chance of winning the conference and are projected to be bowl-eligible. The Broncos are 4-0 at home and 3-1 on the road this season.
Boise State has been favored in seven of their nine games, going 7-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +18.7 points per game, and they hold a 5-2-1 record against the spread.
The over/under line for this week is 61.5 points. Boise State’s games have averaged 68.9 points, with their over/under record at 5-3 and an average margin of +7.2 points against the line.
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Boise State Broncos Stats
Boise State’s offense has been dominant this season, ranking third in points per game with 43.8 and third in rushing yards, averaging 271 yards per game. They are ranked fifth in our offensive power rankings and have converted 51.3% of their third downs, also fifth nationally.
Ashton Jeanty has been the standout performer, rushing for 1,734 yards and scoring 23 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,908 yards with 18 touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 105.
Boise State’s defense has allowed 25.1 points per game this season, ranking 53rd nationally. In their recent game against Nevada, they gave up 21 points, allowing 13 first downs and 319 total yards. Nevada rushed 30 times for 87 yards, while Boise State’s secondary gave up 232 passing yards and two touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 247.1 passing yards per game against Boise State, ranking 134th nationally, with a completion rate of 63.2%. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of 100.1 against them. On the ground, Boise State has been strong, ranking 25th in the nation by allowing just 112.4 rushing yards per game on 32.9 attempts per game.
San Jose State Spartans
San Jose State enters Week 12 with a 6-3 record, and they are projected to be bowl-eligible. However, they have just a 0.1% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Spartans are 2-0 at home this season and rank 89th in our power rankings.
The Spartans have been favored in only two games this season, going 2-0 as the favorite. They have a +4.7 average scoring margin but are 2-4 against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. San Jose State’s over/under record is 1-5, with their games averaging 52.9 points.
San Jose State Spartans Stats
San Jose State’s offense is averaging 28.8 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 47th in the nation. They are ranked 73rd in our offensive power rankings. The Spartans have focused on their passing game, ranking 6th in passing yards per game with 332.3 yards, and they are 14th in passing attempts per game.
Quarterback Emmett Brown has thrown for 1,621 yards, with 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 96. Leading the receiving corps is Nick Nash, who has 1,156 yards and 13 touchdowns on 86 catches. San Jose State is averaging 98 rushing yards per game.
San Jose State’s defense is ranked 46th nationally, allowing 24.1 points per game. They’ve given up 153.3 rushing yards per game and 235.9 passing yards, ranking 115th in the country. Opponents have completed 59.1% of their passes, with a passer rating of 68.8, the 16th-lowest in the nation.
In their recent game against Oregon State, San Jose State’s defense allowed just 13 points but gave up 474 total yards, including 292 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the game.
Boise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Boise State Broncos are 3-1-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the San Jose State Spartans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Boise State Broncos are 4-4-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the San Jose State Spartans have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Boise State Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The San Jose State Spartans’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: San Jose State +13.5
Our projection for the Boise State vs. San Jose State matchup is a 36-28 win for Boise State. Despite this, San Jose State is the +13.5 point underdog, and we believe they will cover the spread.
With the over/under line set at 61.5 points, our projection of 64 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.
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Boise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Great focus and hard work this week, couldn’t do it without @Jbey_5 @kade_millard & @david_perez574 #ThisIsSpartas #AllSpartans pic.twitter.com/wr91v5vuKZ
— San José State Football (@SanJoseStateFB) November 15, 2024
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