Free Week 7 Prediction: Broncos vs Wolf Pack Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack free picks? Week 7 betting sees the Broncos taking on the Wolf Pack on Saturday October 13th at Clarence Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Boise State Nevada free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 7
(3-2) Boise State Broncos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-3)
Date: Saturday, October 13, 2018
Time: 10:30 pm EST
Venue: Clarence Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada
NCAA Football Spread: Boise State -17
NCAA Betting Total: 60.5
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I do not like this spot for Boise State. They are clearly the better team but there is a chance they are still a bit stunned after losing at home to San Diego State. Throw in being on the road and at altitude and it might not look very good. .
Nevada has not shown us much this season. Their two FBS wins were by a field goal or less and hardly against team people think is any good. Their numbers are a little inflated from scoring 72 against an FCS opponent in the opener.
Boise State Broncos
I wouldn’t call it a stinker but last week’s loss to Aztecs was a surprise. Not only does Boise State rarely lose at home but they scored only 13 points and were taking on a team with backups at quarterback and running back. Quite simply they need to be better.
The defensive prowess of SDSU is well documented so it will definitely not be a surprise if Brett Rypien and the offense are a whole lot better. More balance running the ball will be key, they might not have a 1000 yard rusher this season which is rare.
I do not like the situation in this one but at the same time you can’t ignore that the Broncos are the better team. The question is whether they are still highly motivated to win big, even on the road, now that the ceiling of their team has been established.
Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada is coming off a loss in this one too, having fallen to Fresno State 21-3 last week. Hosting the Bulldogs and Broncos at home back to back is about as tough a home stand as you are going to get. They are hopeful they might be catching Boise State at just the right moment.
The Wolf Pack can run the ball OK but Ty Gangi is going to have to have a good game if this thing is going to go over well. Unfortunately he has thrown an interception in every contest this season. He missed the game against Fresno State and is questionable for this one.
I like the spot for Nevada I am just not sure if I actually like the team much. Boise State doesn’t generally beat itself and I am sure the Wolf Pack have enough to really trade blows with them. They are going to have to be mistake free and even that might not be enough.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 7-1 in BSU last 8 games in October.
- BSU are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Under is 10-3 in NEV last 13 games in October.
- NEV are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games in October.
- Under is 35-17 in NEV last 52 games on fieldturf.
Free Week 7 NCAA Football Pick
This is big line seems to reflect that Boise State is the team we thought they were coming into the season. I am not sure they aren’t but at the same time I am not sure I want to test that theory on the road, in conference.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Nevada +17
There is no doubt in my mind that Boise State rebounds and gets the win in this one. They are the better team and they are so well coached another stumble seems very unlikely.
Still I would not play this number like it is with the Broncos. If you want to tease it down that could be a good bet or wait til kickoff and see which was it goes. As is I say Wolf Pack.
Week 7 Free Score Prediction: Boise State 38 – Nevada 24
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