Free NCAA Pick: Boise State vs. Memphis Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. Memphis Tigers free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Broncos taking on the Tigers on Saturday, September 30th at the Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Boise State Memphis matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(2-2) Boise State Broncos vs. Memphis Tigers (3-1)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Boise State +3.5 | Memphis -3.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Boise State +135 | Memphis -164
College Football Betting Total: O/U 59.5
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These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Boise State has gone 2-1. These games finished with an over/under record of 2-1 on a combined average of 60 points per game. Memphis did go 2-1 vs. the spread in these games.
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Boise State Broncos
As Boise State prepares to face Memphis, they are coming off a 34-31 win over San Diego State.
Against the spread, the Broncos are still at 0-3 on an average scoring margin of -3. They have been favored two times this season and the underdog in one game.
Boise State has put together an over/under record of 2-1 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 58.5 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 54.7 points.
Boise State Broncos Stats
The Broncos come into their matchup vs. Memphis 40th in college football at 143 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 171 rushing yards per game, placing them 45th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 32.2 times each game, accumulating an average of 224.8 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 53rd, with 27.8 points per game.
The Broncos defense heads into this week’s matchup with nine sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 30.8 points per game (85th). In the pass defense department, they’re 159th nationally, giving up 294.2 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Boise State’s defense is allowing 135.8 rushing yards per contest.
The Broncos’ passing game featured 22 pass attempts for 162 yards and one score vs. San Diego State. In the rushing department, they averaged 5.9 yards per carry and notched three rushing touchdowns.
Memphis Tigers
Memphis is coming of a 34-27 loss to Missouri. The Tigers were never able to receover from falling behind early, trailing 20-10 at the half.
Against the spread, Memphis is a perfect 3-0. So far, they have been favored one time and the underdog in two games.
Across four games, the average over/under line in Memphis’ matchups is 52.2 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 55.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 2-1.
Memphis Tigers Stats
Memphis enters the game on offense with an average of 37, ranking them 25th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 35th in the nation, with an average of 279 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 64th in rushing yards, with an average of 144 rushing attempts per game this season.
Offensively, the Tigers went 7/18 on 3rd down vs. Missouri and finished with 399 yards of offense. In the passing game, they had three touchdowns and 316 yards. The Tigers did not score on any of their 29 rushing attempts and ended with 83 rushing yards.
Ranked 167th in passing yards allowed per game, Memphis’ defense gets ready to take on Boise State. Opponents have attempted an average of 27.5 passes per game against the Tigers. They’re allowing 18.8 points per contest, placing them 47th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 105th in the NCAA.
Boise State Broncos vs. Memphis Tigers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Tigers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Tigers’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Boise State vs. Memphis Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | -110 | +135 | +1 | +3.5 |
| Tigers | -110 | -163 | -1 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Boise State +3.5
With Boise State running the ball well against Missouri and Memphis’ defense showing vulnerability against the run vs. San Diego State, I’m leaning towards Boise State at +3.5 for this matchup.
We’ve seen the total go OVER in 4 of Boise State’s last 5 games, plus the total has gone OVER in 12 of Memphis’ last 18 games.
My model has this one at 63 points total, so play the OVER 59.5.
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Boise State Broncos vs. Memphis Tigers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/MemphisFB/status/1706292473541046658
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