Free NCAA Pick: Boise State vs. Georgia Southern Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. Georgia Southern Eagles free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Broncos taking on the Eagles on Saturday, August 31st at the Allen E. Paulson Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Boise State Georgia Southern matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Boise State Broncos vs. Georgia Southern Eagles (0-0)
Date: Saturday, August 31st
Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA
Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Boise State -13 | Georgia Southern +13
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Boise State -539 | Georgia Southern +383
College Football Betting Total: O/U 56.5
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Broncos vs. Eagles Gameday
Get ready for the excitement of NCAA Week 1 with our expert betting analysis, starting with a can’t-miss showdown between Boise State and Georgia Southern. The Broncos, coming in as 13-point favorites, are set to flex their muscles in Statesboro, but don’t sleep on the Eagles at home. Boise State’s dominance is reflected in the moneyline at -539, but Georgia Southern, sitting at +383, could offer some real value for the bold. With an over/under of 56.5, this matchup promises plenty of action.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State enters this season with an 88.1% chance of being bowl-eligible, according to our pre-season power rankings, which place them 49th in the nation. The Broncos are also given a 36.3% chance of winning the Mountain West title, ranking 21st nationally. The futures market also places them as the favorite to make it to the Mountain West Conference Championship, with odds of -260 (72% chance).
Last season, Boise State finished with an 8-6 record, going 5-2 at home and 3-4 on the road. They were favored in nine out of their 14 games, going 6-3 as the favorite and 2-3 as the underdog. The Broncos are currently -146 to win the Mountain West, with futures markets giving them a 59% chance of making it to the Mountain West Conference Championship.
Boise State Broncos Stats
Ashton Jeanty is coming off a season in which he rushed for 1351 yards and 14 touchdowns for the Boise State Broncos. He also added 569 yards receiving and five receiving touchdowns. Jeanty enters the season with the 3rd best odds to win the Doak Walker Trophy for the nation’s top running back (+750). Last season, the Broncos had the 4th best rushing yards per game in college football, averaging 217 yards per game on the ground.
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Boise State’s passing game averaged 221.3 yards per game last season, with quarterback Maddux Madsen throwing for 1191 yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions. The Broncos were 20th in the country in scoring, putting up 32.1 points per game. They were also efficient on third down, converting 45.9% of their chances (16th in the country).
Boise State’s defense allowed 25.6 points per game last season, ranking them 64th in the nation. They were better against the run, ranking 56th in rushing yards allowed, but their pass defense struggled, giving up 250.4 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks completed 60.4% of their passes and had a passer rating of 137.2 against the Broncos last season.
Georgia Southern Eagles
Georgia Southern is coming off a season in which they went 5-1 at home but struggled on the road, finishing with a 1-6 record. Last season, they were 3-1 as the underdog and 2-5 as the favorite. The Eagles ended the season with a 6-7 overall record.
Heading into this season, Georgia Southern is ranked 96th in our power rankings, with a 44.5% chance of being bowl-eligible. Their chances of winning the Sun Belt Conference are currently at 3.2%. In the futures market, they are listed at +2580 to win the conference, giving them a 4% implied probability, which is 10th out of the 7 teams in the Sun Belt.
Georgia Southern Eagles Stats
Georgia Southern’s offense was 38th in the country in scoring last season, averaging 30.2 points per game. Despite being 89th in rushing attempts, the Eagles were 11th in passing yards per game, averaging 302.2 yards per contest. Their success in the passing game was driven by a 65.6% completion percentage (17th nationally) and a strong 3rd down conversion rate of 45.4% (19th).
Jalen White, who rushed for 889 yards and nine touchdowns, returns as the Eagles’ top running back. In the passing game, Derwin Burgess Jr. returns after recording 813 receiving yards and six touchdowns last season. Georgia Southern also added transfer receiver LV Bunkley-Shelton from Oklahoma. At quarterback, JC French returns after throwing for 122 yards last season.
Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 30.5 points per game last season, ranking them 79th in the nation. They struggled against the pass, giving up 234.5 passing yards per game (112th), and also had difficulty stopping the run, allowing 162.9 rushing yards per game (110th). Opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 138.3 against the Eagles last year.
Boise State Broncos vs. Georgia Southern Eagles NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Boise State Broncos are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Georgia Southern Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Boise State Broncos are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Georgia Southern Eagles have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Boise State Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Georgia Southern Eagles’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Boise State -13
Boise State is the -13 point favorite on the road in their week one matchup against Georgia Southern. We expect Boise State to come out on top with a final score of 35-20, making them the best bet to cover the spread.
With the over/under line sitting at 56.5 points, our projection of 55 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this game.
Whether you’re backing Boise to cover or taking a flyer on the Eagles, this game is a prime betting opportunity to kick off the college football season.
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Boise State Broncos vs. Georgia Southern Eagles NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
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“Just a big bowl of grits.” – @DavionRhodes00 #HailSouthern pic.twitter.com/lQDVGXeU1O
— Georgia Southern Football (@GSAthletics_FB) August 29, 2024
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