Free Week 10 Prediction: Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones Odds
Looking for Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones free picks? Week 10 betting sees the Bears taking on the Cyclones on Saturday, November 7th at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Bears Cyclones Week 10 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 10
(1-3) Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones (4-2)
Date: Saturday, November 7th, 2020
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, IA
NCAA Football Spread: Iowa State -14
NCAA Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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The Iowa State Cyclones have a great chance of pushing their record to 5-2 when they host the 1-3 Baylor Bears on Saturday night. ISU has risen to #17 in the rankings, and are coming off a 30-point win over Kansas last week.
Baylor’s only win of the year came against the lowly Jayhawks in the season opener. The Bears fought hard last week, but ultimately fell 33-23 at home against TCU as +2.5 underdogs for their third straight defeat.
Baylor has had a pretty tough stretch since their win over KU to start the year. Since then the Bears have dropped a 27-21 contest in OT at West Virginia, fell 27-16 at Texas, and had last week’s 10-point loss at home to TCU.
The Bears are 1-3, but all three of their losses have been by a smaller margin than Saturday night’s 14-point spread. The Baylor defense held both the Texas and West Virginia offenses to 27 points, which is impressive.
Iowa State has a very balanced offense, but Baylor can lean on the fact that they held Texas’ Sam Ehlinger to just 270 yards and 1 TD and 1 INT. The Bears held WVU to 211 yards passing and also forced 2 INTs against Jarrett Doege.
Baylor’s defense will likely keep them in this game, but can the offense do their part? The Bears have been held to 23 points or less in three straight games and rank 107th in rushing (92.3) and 79th in the country in passing (208.3).
Iowa State Cyclones
ISU would normally be in danger of getting complacent against the 1-3 Bears, but the Cyclones showed their focus in a 52-22 victory over winless Kansas last week as -27.5 favorites.
The Cyclones can afford a bad day by one side of their offense, because they are a multi-faceted attack. Brock Purdy has 5 TD to 2 IN the last three weeks, and Breece Hall has rushed for 130+ in five straight games.
Baylor gave up 247 yards on 44 carries to TCU last week, so there’s potential for a big game on the ground for Hall and ISU. The Cyclones are a top 25 rushing team in the country, gaining 200.7 yards/game on the ground.
Baylor won this meeting last year, 23-21 as +2.5 home underdogs. The Cyclones won 28-14 the last contest in Ames in 2018, and the teams have split the last four games 2-2, with each being decided by 14 points or less.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Bears are 9-2 ATS vs team with a winning record
- Bears are 8-3-1 last 12 road games
- Bears are 1-3-1 ATS last 5 overall
- Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 road games
- Cyclones are 5-2 ATS vs team with a losing record
- Cyclones are 3-7 ATS last 10 overall
- Cyclones are 2-5 ATS last 7 home games
- Under is 5-2 in Cyclones last 7 home games
- Under is 4-1 last 5 head to head meetings
Free Week 10 NCAA Football Prediction:
This game looks to be low scoring with a betting total that has dropped from a 53.5 open down to 47.5. Not a lot of points expected combined with a two TD spread favors the points here.
Free NCAA Betting Pick: Baylor +14
Baylor has played much better than their 1-3 record would indicate.
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