Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones 10/5/2024 Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction

Free NCAA Pick: Baylor vs. Iowa State Odds

Looking for Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bears taking on the Cyclones on Saturday, October 5th at the Jack Trice Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Baylor Iowa State matchup.

2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6

(2-3) Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones (4-0)
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baylor +12.5 | Iowa State -12.5
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: Baylor +379 | Iowa State -511
College Football Betting Total: O/U 45.5

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Get ready, folks! It’s Iowa State vs. Baylor, and this matchup is heating up in more ways than one. Iowa State has announced a whiteout game for Saturday, and it’s not just the fans who’ll be decked out in white from head to toe. The Cyclones themselves are suiting up in crisp, all-white uniforms—helmets, jerseys, pants, the whole shebang! It’s a bold move, and maybe a good luck charm, as Iowa State is starting the season 4-0 for the first time since Y2K was a thing.

This is the 23rd showdown between these two, and it’s a rivalry that’s been brewing since they started sharing conference space in ‘96. The Bears may hold a slight edge historically at 12-10, but Matt Campbell has leveled the playing field since he took over in Ames. With a 4-4 split under his watch, this series has been tight as ever.

Oh, and remember last year? Iowa State stormed into Waco and left with a 30-18 win. Are we about to see a repeat?

Kick-off for this Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones matchup is set for 7:30 ET from Jack Trice Stadium in Ames. The game will be broadcast on FOX, and the Cyclones are the heavy favorite with a -12.5 point spread.

The over/under line is currently at 45.5 points.

Iowa State is undefeated at 4-0, while Baylor comes in with a 2-3 record for the season. Baylor would love to stop that train, but with the Cyclones flying high in their ghostly white gear, momentum’s on their side.

Hold on to your hats—this game is going to be wild!

Baylor Bears

Baylor enters Week 6 against Iowa State with a 2-3 record and ranks 58th in our power rankings. They have a 37.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season. So far, the Bears are 1-1 at home and 0-1 on the road.

Baylor’s ATS record is 2-1, and they have a +9.2 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 against the spread as the favorite.

This week’s over/under line is 45.5 points. Baylor’s games have averaged 49.6 points, with an average line of 48.6 points. Their over/under record is 1-2 this season.

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Baylor Bears Stats

Heading into week 6, Baylor’s offense is averaging 29.4 points per game, placing them 52nd in the nation. They rank 86th in our offensive power rankings. The Bears have focused on their ground game, averaging 38 rushing attempts per game, but they are only producing 146.2 rushing yards per contest.

Sawyer Robertson leads Baylor’s passing attack with 787 yards and a passer rating of 97. He has thrown six touchdowns and two interceptions. Baylor ranks 42nd in passing attempts and completions, averaging 222.6 yards per game. Josh Cameron has 267 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.

Despite their recent 34-28 loss to BYU, Baylor’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 38th nationally by allowing just 20.2 points per game. Against BYU, they gave up 34 points, allowing 369 total yards, including 153 rushing yards and 216 passing yards, while forcing two interceptions.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed just 47.6% of their passes against Baylor, the 7th-lowest rate in the country, averaging a passer rating of 61.1. Baylor’s defense has faced the 18th-fewest pass attempts nationally, but they’ve allowed 144 rushing yards per game, ranking 79th.

Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State enters Week 6 against Baylor with a 4-0 record and ranks 22nd in our power rankings. They have a 99% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 20.3% chance of winning the Big 12. The Cyclones also have a 25% chance of making the College Football Playoff, according to projections.

The Cyclones have gone 2-0 at home and 1-0 on the road this season. They are 3-0 against the spread and have a +21 average scoring margin. Iowa State has been favored in two of their four games, going 2-0 as the favorite.

This week’s over/under line is set at 45.5 points. Iowa State’s games have averaged 35.5 points, with an average over/under line of 43.7 points. Their over/under record is 2-1, and they’ve beaten the line by an average of 4.3 points per game.

Iowa State Cyclones Stats

Heading into week 6, Iowa State’s offense is averaging 28.2 points per game, ranking 57th in the nation. However, they are 28th in our offensive power rankings. Rocco Becht leads the passing game with 896 yards and a 66.4% completion rate, throwing seven touchdowns and two interceptions. His passer rating is 106.

Iowa State ranks 23rd nationally in completion percentage, connecting on 66.7% of their passes. They are 47th in completions, averaging 19 per game, and 76th in passing yards, with 236.2 yards per game. Jaylin Noel has 353 receiving yards and two touchdowns. On the ground, the Cyclones average 163 rushing yards per game.

Iowa State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking third in the nation by allowing just 7.2 points per game. In their recent 20-0 win over Houston, they forced two interceptions and allowed only 11 first downs and 72 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 102.5 passing yards per game against Iowa State, the fourth-lowest in the country, with a passer rating of just 34.9. Quarterbacks have completed 49.2% of their passes, while the Cyclones have given up 161.8 rushing yards per game.

Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones NCAA Football Betting Trends

• The Baylor Bears are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
• Conversely, the Iowa State Cyclones are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
• Also, the Baylor Bears are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the Iowa State Cyclones have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
• Over the Baylor Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
• The Iowa State Cyclones’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.

4* Free 2024 Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Iowa State -12.5

Our projection for the Iowa State vs. Baylor matchup is a 27-14 win for the Cyclones. Given that Iowa State is favored by -12.5 points, we expect them to cover the spread as the stronger team.

With the over/under line set at 45.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projection suggests a combined total of 41 points.

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Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day

Game 5

🌪️🚨🌪️ pic.twitter.com/JzFA7NCmVo

— Iowa State Football (@CycloneFB) September 30, 2024

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About Nicolas Basran

New to Cappers Picks, Bazy is looking to take the sports betting world by storm. He's not here to mess around and want's to be the Bret Hart of handicapping. You'll see picks on the usual Big 4 and college games but also the occasional pick from off the beaten path. To paraphrase the Godfather, “Picking ain't easy” but that's why Bazy is here, to do the work for you. He's a die-hard sports fan who takes pride in what he picks but just like Macho Man Randy Savage, Bazy believes the cream will rise to the top.

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