Free NCAA Pick: Ball State vs. Kentucky Odds
Looking for Ball State Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cardinals taking on the Wildcats on Saturday, September 2nd at the Kroger Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Ball State Kentucky matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Ball State Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 2nd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Kroger Field
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Ball State +26 | Kentucky -26
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Ball State +1700 | Kentucky -8142
College Football Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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Ball State and Kentucky did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 1-2. Kentucky had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 28 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
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Ball State Cardinals
This season the Ball State Cardinals are looking to improve on last year’s record of 5-7 and qualify for a bowl game. For the seasn, Ball State went 2-3 in the Mid-American – West, putting them 9th in the league. At home, their record was 3-3 compared to 2-4 on the road.
Ball State Cardinals Stats
Ball State is coming into the season needing to replace the production of John Paddock who was the team’s leading passer. Last year he threw for 2693 passing yards on a passer rating of 75.
The Ball State Cardinals are looking for Vaughn Pemberton to build on last year’s production in the running game. Last year, he finished with 133 yards on the ground. Nick Presley is the team’s top returning receiver after catching 6 for 35 last season.
Last year’s Ball State defense gave up an average of 216.1 passing yards per game. This figure put them 73rd in the country compared to a rush defense that was 131st in the NCAA.
Overall, they gave up an average of 26.9 (95th).
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky’s season ended in a 21-0 loss Iowa in the Transperfect Music City Bowl. The team’s overall record for the season was 7-6. This included finishing 2-2 at home and 5-4 at home. In SEC – East action, they were 2-4.
Kentucky Wildcats Stats
At the quarterback position, the Wildcats will need to replace the production of last year’s leading passer (Will Levis). For the season, he completed 65.4% of his passes for 2406 yards and 19 touchdowns. Kentucky’s leading returning QB is Kaiya Sheron who threw for 187 yards last season.
In the running game, the Wildcats’ leading returning running back is Jutahn McClain (senior) who ran for 278 yards last season. Kentucky’s top returning wide receiver is Barion Brown.
The sophomore caught 50 passes for 628 yards last season.
Last year’s Kentucky defense gave up an average of 170.8 passing yards per game. This figure put them 18th in the country compared to a rush defense that was 62nd in the NCAA.
Overall, they gave up an average of 19.2 (65th).
Should the Wildcats amass a substantial number of points in this game and they can show us a smooth offensive performance, it will serve as an encouraging indication for the upcoming season for Mark Stoops’s team.
Ball State Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Cardinals are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Wildcats are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cardinals are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wildcats have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cardinals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Wildcats’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Ball State vs. Kentucky Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | +1800 | +1700 | +26.5 | +26 |
| Wildcats | -5000 | -8142 | -26.5 | -26 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Ball State +26
Despite Kentucky coming off a season in which they covered the spread in over half of their games, I don’t see there being enough value to take them at -26.
Instead, my money is going on Ball State at +26.
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Ball State Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Not long now … pic.twitter.com/DqlsYbETjZ
— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) August 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/BallStateFB/status/1695854141426262122
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