Free Week 15 Prediction: Black Knights vs Midshipmen Odds
Looking for Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen free picks? Week 15 betting sees the Black Knights taking on the Midshipmen on Saturday December 9th at Lincoln, Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Army Navy free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 15
(8-3) Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen (6-5)
Date: Saturday, December 9
Time: 3:00 pm EST
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
NCAA Football Spread: Navy -3.5
NCAA Betting Total: 46
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I cannot recall the last time Army came into this annual season ender in a better position than Navy, though I am not sure how much it is going to really matter. These two are going to go at it in a respectful manner.
Army won last year breaking a long run by Navy in this annual tilt. Bowl invites have already been done so this is all about pride (I suppose it always is).
Army Black Knights
Army has eight wins for the second season in a row. With this and a bowl game to follow they could actually post double-digit victories for the first time since 1992. They will be underdogs in this and their bowl game.
The Black Knights are the top running team in the country. They know how to move the ball but struggle when they get caught in shootouts. QB Ahmad Bradshaw is the featured runner and is closing his eligibility with a flourish – over 1400 yards on the ground.
The Knights are only yielding 21ppg, which is they the 52 they gave up to Texas was so surprising. After a few weeks off and facing a familiar opponent they should be able to get the defense back to the level it has been at most of the season.
The Middies struggled down the stretch losing five of their last six. They were very competitive losing by just 3 at Memphis and bot by more than 10 points but this group is used to more success than we saw this season.
Led by Zach Abey and his 1300+ yards on the ground Navy was second in rushing in the nation. It is all relative but they put the ball in the air a lot more than Army does. Though that might not be evident in this contest.
It was the slide of the defense this season that prevented them from winning at a high rate. Grinding out clock the way they do is only an effective strategy if you can get enough stops. Oddly they were good against Memphis and UCF but not so much against lesser offensive teams.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 8-1 in Black Knights last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 11-2 in Black Knights last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Black Knights last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Midshipmen last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Midshipmen are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Midshipmen last 4 vs. INDEP.
Free Week 15 NCAA Football Pick
It says a lot that despite the disparity in their results this season Navy is still a very solid favourite. Army might be closing the gap overall in terms of program strength but will they beat Navy two years in a row. They had lost 14 in a row before last season.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Navy -3.5
That hook is the only reason to pause for me. Army may have the better record and some nice stats but they have not played as tough a schedule as Navy. That will show when they are toe to toe.
I think Navy will win by at least seven in this spot so I might wait to see which way the market pushes this one. -3 is always better than -3.5. Both teams will run the ball well but I like Navy to get more stops, enough to win.
Week 1 Free Score Prediction: Navy 34 – Army 20
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