Free Week 5 Prediction: Red Wolves vs. Chanticleers Odds
Looking for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Red Wolves take on the Chanticleers on Saturday, October 3rd at Brooks Stadium in Conway, South Carolina. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Red Wolves Chanticleers Week 4 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
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Arkansas State came onto everyone’s radar this year after their upset over Kansas State as huge underdogs. The offense is electric averaging 314.5 passing yards per game and they have one of the best wide receivers in the country, Jonathan Adams Jr., that will certainly play on Sundays when he decides to declare for the draft. Coastal Carolina has impressed too as they beat Kansas in an upset win and has been one of the most efficient offenses in NCAAF. This conference matchup could end up being the Sun Belt Championship later in the season.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
The Red Wolves are running a two-quarterback offense with Logan Bonner and Layne Hatcher. Bonner has gotten most of the snaps this year and has been solid, but I hope they let Layne Hatcher have some more snaps this game as he has impressed me more than Bonner. Hatcher has been able to take better care of the ball and averages 2.5 more yards per attempt. Either way, the offense has clicked throwing, and especially when it gets the ball to superstar Johnathan Adams Jr. Adams had a phenomenal game versus Kansas State with 8 receptions for 98 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is an absolute beast and much watch television.
In addition, Arkansas State is getting their top running back returning from injury. Marcel Murray has been solid throughout his Arkansas State career and should help the Arkansas State running game build on the successful start it has had to the season.
Arkansas State defense has been solid and should be able to control the Coastal Carolina run game. They need to improve their passing defense as the Coastal Carolina offense has been very efficient.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Coastal Carolina has a talented offense of their own. Quarterback Grayson McCall has been great this year with a 64.7% completion rate, 406 yards, and 5 touchdowns. They have a strong tight end, Isaiah Likely, who should cause matchup problems against Arkansas State. Additionally, they have a talented running back in CJ Marable, who has not played his best football but still has 2 touchdowns to his name.
The offense converts 60% of the time on third down, which is fantastic compared to the 42.6% of the time Arkansas State is converting on its third downs. It has averaged 40.5 PPG and 11.6 Pass/Att. This team has struggled in recent years, but it has turned the corner and now is a contender for a Sun Belt Championship and is in a great position to get its first win versus Arkansas State at home this Saturday.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends*
- ARST are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
- ARST are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games
- The Total has gone over in 4 of the last five Red Wolves away games
- The total has gone over in 8 of the last 12 CC games
- CC are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
- CC are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
- Coastal is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Saturday
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Prediction:
In their last meeting, Coastal Carolina was in position to win, but Arkansas State was able to drive down the field on their last drive and score a touchdown to win the game 28-27. This Coastal Carolina team has improved tremendously since their previous matchup.
This time around it is a home game in a nationally televised game with what could have huge conference implications down the line. Coastal Carolina is in a prime spot to prove to the conference that they are here to play this year.
Arkansas State has had issues with ball security with a turnover margin of -4. Coastal Carolina will want to take advantage of this and convert the turnovers into points. If they struggle to contain the passing attack of the Red Wolves this game will be tough to win, but I think Coastal Carolina’s efficiency will help them keep this game close. They have a great chance to win this game to as a short home dog.
Free NCAA Betting Pick: Coastal Carolina +3.5
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