Free NCAA Pick: Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green Odds
Looking for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Bowling Green Falcons free NCAA 68 Ventures Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Red Wolves taking on the Falcons on Thursday, December 26th at the Hancock Whitney Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Arkansas State Bowling Green 68 Ventures Bowl matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: 68 Ventures Bowl
2024 68 Ventures Bowl
(7-5) Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Bowling Green Falcons (7-5)
Date: Thursday, December 26th
Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
68 Ventures Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Arkansas State +6.5 | Bowling Green -6.5
68 Ventures Bowl CFB Moneyline Odds: Arkansas State +197 | Bowling Green -237
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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The 2024 68 Ventures Bowl brings us an intriguing clash between Arkansas State and Bowling Green, their first meeting since 1974 when the Falcons blanked the Red Wolves 17-0.
ESPN will be covering the 68 Ventures Bowl between the Falcons and Red Wolves, scheduled for Thursday, December 26th, with a 9:00 ET kickoff.
Both teams enter the game with a 7-5 record for the season.
Fast forward to today, and Bowling Green enters as the favorite (-237), with Arkansas State as a lively underdog (+197).
The game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, with Bowling Green as the -6.5 point spread favorite. The over/under line is currently at 49.5 points.
Senior leadership could play a pivotal role for the Falcons as they aim to cap off the season with a statement win in Mobile, Ala.
Both squads have managed to maintain respectable rosters despite a few transfer portal departures, setting the stage for a competitive showdown.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State enters their 68 Ventures Bowl game against Bowling Green with a 7-5 record. They’ve been strong at home, going 4-1, but have struggled on the road with a 2-4 mark. The Red Wolves are unbeaten as the favorite, holding a 4-0 record, but are 2-5 when playing as the underdog.
Against the spread, Arkansas State is 5-6 this season, with a 3-3 record on the road and 2-3 at home. They’ve split their games as the favorite at 2-2 ATS and have gone 3-4 as the underdog.
The over/under record for Arkansas State is 5-6, with their games averaging 57.1 points. The average over/under line has been 57.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 49.5 points.
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Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats
Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 24.8 points per game, placing them 68th in the nation heading into this bowl game. They are ranked 95th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is a focal point, with 34.2 attempts per game, ranking 30th, and they average 227.1 passing yards per game. They are 31st in completions, with 21.2 per game, and their completion percentage is 62%, ranking 45th. Their third-down conversion rate is 39.8%, and their passer rating is 86.
Jaylen Raynor leads the passing attack with 2,562 yards and a passer rating of 83. He has thrown 14 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, completing 61.8% of his passes. On the ground, Arkansas State averages 163.5 rushing yards per game. Zak Wallace has rushed for 622 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Corey Rucker leads the receiving corps with 946 yards and five touchdowns on 65 receptions.
Arkansas State’s defense struggled in their recent game, allowing 40 points and 554 total yards in a loss to Old Dominion. The Red Wolves gave up 411 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns, while Old Dominion attempted just 12 passes, completing nine for 143 yards and two touchdowns.
For the season, Arkansas State ranks 85th nationally, allowing 32.2 points per game. Opponents have averaged 229 rushing yards per game against them, and quarterbacks have posted a 93.1 passer rating, completing 63.7% of their throws.
Bowling Green Falcons
Bowling Green enters their 68 Ventures Bowl matchup against Arkansas State with a 7-5 record. They’ve been strong on the road, going 4-2, but have struggled at home with a 2-3 mark. The Falcons have been favored in eight of their 12 games, posting a 5-3 record as the favorite.
Their ATS record stands at 5-6, with a 4-2 record on the road and 1-4 at home. As the favorite, they are 2-6 against the spread, but they’ve gone 3-0 ATS as the underdog. Bowling Green’s average scoring margin this season is +6.5 points per game.
Bowling Green’s over/under record is 4-7, with their games averaging 47 points. The average over/under line this season has been 50 points, and this week’s line is set at 49.5 points.
Bowling Green Falcons Stats
Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 26.8 points per game heading into this bowl game, placing them 54th nationally. They are ranked 72nd in our offensive power rankings. The Falcons have been focused on their passing game, ranking 40th in completions while averaging 224.6 yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 37.5%, ranking 89th.
Connor Bazelak leads the team with 2,654 passing yards and a 67.1% completion rate. He has thrown 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, with a passer rating of 97. Terion Stewart is the leading rusher with 895 yards and 6 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Malcolm Johnson Jr. has 504 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Bowling Green’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 20.2 points per game. They’ve given up 151.2 rushing yards per game and 181.3 passing yards, which ranks 30th in the country. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of 79.7 and a completion percentage of 56.9% against them.
In their recent game against Miami (OH), Bowling Green’s defense allowed just 190 total yards, including 63 rushing yards and 127 passing yards. They also forced an interception, but the team still lost 28-12.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Bowling Green Falcons NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bowling Green Falcons are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bowling Green Falcons have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Arkansas State Red Wolves’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bowling Green Falcons’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 68 Ventures Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Arkansas State +6.5
We’re projecting a 23-22 win for Arkansas State over Bowling Green in the 68 Ventures Bowl. With the Red Wolves as +6.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to not only cover the spread but to win the game outright.
For the over/under, with the line set at 49.5 points, our projection of 45 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play.
Expect hard-fought action and some live-betting drama as these teams battle for postseason pride in what promises to be a thrilling bowl game!
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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Bowling Green Falcons NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
:
Sweet Home Alabama for the HolidaysBGSU heads to Mobile the day after Christmas to take on Arkansas State in the @68VenturesBowl. It is the Falcons’ fourth time playing in the bowl and first time since 2015.
» https://t.co/wmZycYhTVs pic.twitter.com/8KHHjJ2Rb6
— BGSU Football (@BG_Football) December 20, 2024
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