Free Week 5 Prediction: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Razorbacks taking on the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 3rd at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Razorbacks Bulldogs Week 4 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(0-1) Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0)
Date: Saturday, October 3rd, 2020
Time: 7:30 pm EST
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium in Starksville, Mississippi
NCAA Football Spread: Mississippi State -17
NCAA Betting Total: O/U 68.5
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Mississippi State might not have expected to come into their week two game with Arkansas at 1-0, but that’s just the situation after the Bulldogs’ 44-34 upset of defending national champion LSU last week.
The Razorbacks were able to cover by 1/2 a point in their 37-10 season opening home loss to Georgia. Arkansas lost this meeting by 30 at home last season, and were bowled over 52-6 their last trip to Starkville.
The main goal of Arkansas’ new 3-2-6 defense will be stopping Mississippi State’s Air Raid offense. The Razorbacks gave Georgia fits in the opener, holding the Bulldogs to just 3 points at the half.
Georgia also could’ve been a little stale in the season opener, because the ‘Dogs scored the last 32 points of the game in week one. UGA had 121 yards rushing – but on 42 carries.
Can Arkansas afford to get in a shootout on Saturday night? The Razorbacks managed just 77 yards rushing in their opener and QB Feleipe Franks had 200 yards but with 2 INTs.
Mississippi State hasn’t been a great matchup for Arkansas lately and that was prior to Mike Leach bringing his potent offense to Starkville. The Razorbacks have lost the last two H2H meetings by a combined 76 points.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Bulldogs QB K.J. Costello was the headline of college football last week after leading MSU to a 10-point win over LSU as two touchdown underdogs.
Costello looks like he’ll be magnificent running Leach’s offense after putting up a 623 yard, 5 TD performance through the air. That total set the SEC single game record for pass yards in a game.
Mississippi State ran the ball just 16 times for 9 yards last week. Is that too one-dimensional of an approach vs. an improved Arkansas defense?
The Bulldogs did win this meeting by 30 points last year, going away as -7 point road favorites. Mississippi State racked up 460 yards rushing in that tilt but MSU employs a whole new offensive strategy in 2020.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Razorbacks are 3-7 ATS last 10 conference games
- Razorbacks are 4-10 ATS last 14 overall
- Razorbacks are 1-5 ATS last 6 road games
- Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS last 6 vs. team with a losing record
- Bulldogs are 11-4 ATS last 15 home games
- Over is 5-1 last 6 head to head meetings in Starkville
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Prediction:
There will be 25% capacity of fans allowed at 61,000 plus seat Davis Wade Stadium and in a night game. That will create an electric atmosphere for the home debut of the Mike Leach era and things could get ugly for the Razorbacks.
Free NCAA Betting Pick: Mississippi State -17
The Bulldogs ran all over Arkansas last year, but it will be a different story with the Air Raid offense this year. The Razorbacks defense looked solid in the opener, but Georgia figured them out in the 2nd half.
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