Free NCAA Pick: Arkansas vs. LSU Odds
Looking for Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Razorbacks taking on the Tigers on Saturday, September 23rd at the Tiger Stadium (LA). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Arkansas LSU matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers (2-1)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Tiger Stadium (LA)
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Arkansas +17.5 | LSU -17.5
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Arkansas +643 | LSU -1084
College Football Betting Total: O/U 55.5
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This Saturday, it’s going down at Tiger Stadium as the (2-1) Arkansas Razorbacks face off against the (2-1) LSU Tigers in a thrilling SEC football showdown in Baton Rouge, Louisiana – a game famously known as “The Battle for the Boot.”
Betting enthusiasts, here are the odds: Arkansas is getting +17.5, while LSU is favored at -17.5. The Moneyline odds stand at Arkansas +643 and LSU -1084, with an Over/Under of 55.5.
As for their 2023 ATS records, the Razorbacks are 1-2, while LSU boasts a 2-1 ATS performance.
The most recent matchup between these teams finished with a 13-10 win for the LSU. On the defensive end, LSU put the clamps down on Arkansas as they threw for 116 yards.
Offensively, LSU finished with 284 yards of total offense with 86 in the passing game and 198 on the ground.
Fun fact: These schools first clashed way back in 1901, with LSU emerging victorious at 15-0. LSU also leads the trophy series at 18-9 through the 2022 season, and since 1996, the victorious team claims the coveted 200-pound, $10,000 “Boot” trophy.
LSU holds a strong recent record, winning 6 out of the last 7 head-to-head meetings. For more insights on this exciting matchup, keep an eye on our College football handicapping blog!
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Arkansas Razorbacks
In Arkansas’ 38-31 loss to BYU, the Razorbacks struggled in the 4th quarter. The teams went into the 4th quarter all tied at 31-31.
Through three games, Arkansas have been the underdog in all of their games. So far, they have a scoring differential of +19 and are a perfect 2-0 vs. the spread.
Across three games, the average over/under line in Arkansas’ matchups is 52.5 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 57.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 1-1.
Arkansas Razorbacks Stats
As they prepare to face the LSU, the Razorbacks’ offense is averaging 151.3 rushing yards per game and 3 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 70th in rushing yards and 70th in passing yards, on an average of 219 yards per matchup.
Arkansas has averaged 38.3 points per game so far. This figure places them 24th in the nation.
Coming into this week’s game, the Arkansas defense is 33rd in points allowed at 19 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 201.7 passing yards per game vs. the unit (70th).
On the ground, they are giving up 55.7 rushing yards, putting them 7th in college football.
Offensively, the Razorbacks finished with two scores on the ground against BYU while running for 177 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Arkansas scored one time and threw the ball 35 times for 247 yards.
LSU Tigers
LSU is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Mississippi State by a score of 41-14.
Against the spread, LSU has yet to cover with a record of 0-1. Heading into this week’s matchup with Arkansas, the Tigers have been the underdog in every game.
So far in this season, LSU has posted an over/under record of 1-0.
On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 68.7 points, with the typical over/under line set at 56.5 points.
LSU Tigers Stats
On the offensive side, LSU has averaged 45.7 points per game this season. This figure has them 11th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 344.3 passing yards, is ranked 12th nationally.
In terms of rushing, they’re 36th in rushing yards with an average of 114 rushing attempts per contest this season.
The Tigers’ finished with 37 pass attempts vs. Mississippi State, accumulating 367 yards and two scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 4.2 yards per carry and notched three rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, the Tigers enter the game with five sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries.
They’ve allowed 23 points per game thus far this season (45th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 80th in the NCAA, giving up 207.7 passing yards per game.
Against the run, LSU has allowed 130.7 rushing yards per contest thus far.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Razorbacks are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Tigers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Razorbacks are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 2-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Razorbacks’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Tigers’ have an over/under record of 2-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Arkansas vs. LSU Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Razorbacks | +650 | +647 | +18 | +17.5 |
| Tigers | -1115 | -1084 | -18 | -17.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Arkansas +17.5
I’m going with Arkansas to cover as 17.5-point underdogs in this matchup. Arkansas had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Mississippi State.
Plus, they don’t let the moment get to them. They’ll be fired up to take the field on Saturday. (Sidenote: first half bet action!)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 71% ROI)
They’ve gone 6-3-1 ATS in their L10 head to head matchups vs. LSU, and I think the Razorbacks will be motivated following their loss to BYU.
I anticipate them to replicate that success from the win against MSST, which is why I’m backing Arkansas before kickoff.
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Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Preview: Football Set to Host Arkansas in Annual Battle for the Boot
— LSU Football (@LSUfootball) September 22, 2023
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