Free NCAA Pick: Arizona vs. USC Odds
Looking for Arizona Wildcats vs. USC Trojans free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wildcats taking on the Trojans on Saturday, October 7th at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Arizona USC matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(3-2) Arizona Wildcats vs. USC Trojans (5-0)
Date: Saturday, October 7th
Time: 10:30 ET
Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
NCAA Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Arizona +21.5 | USC -21.5
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: Arizona +924 | USC -2000
College Football Betting Total: O/U 72.5
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This Saturday brings a colossal Pac-12 showdown between the (3-2) Arizona Wildcats and the undefeated (5-0) USC Trojans, a true David vs. Goliath clash. Arizona boasts a formidable defense, while USC flaunts its potent offense.
Mark your calendars for Saturday, October 7, 2023, at 10:30 PM ET, and catch the action on ESPN or via live stream on Fubo, as the battleground shifts to the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in sunny Los Angeles, California.
In terms of ATS performance in 2023, Arizona stands at a commendable 4-1, whereas USC has surprisingly struggled, going 2-3 ATS.
Betting enthusiasts, take note of the odds: Arizona sits at +21.5, while USC is favored at -21.5, with a Moneyline of Arizona +924 and USC -2000. The Over/Under is set at 72.5, promising an exciting matchup.
It’s worth mentioning that USC has dominated this historical rivalry, holding a 36-8 record against Arizona, winning their last two encounters, and boasting a strong 19-4 record at home.
USC will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 45-37 win over Arizona. In the win, USC ran for 210 yards and threw for 411. On 3rd down, the Trojans went 11/17.
On the other side, Arizona completed 26 of their 43 passes for 380 yards and ran for 163 yards.
Before you start throwing down your bets, make sure you check out different sportsbooks to find the best odds, spreads, and over/under lines. Also, don’t forget to keep an eye on our College football handicapping blog.
We’ve got some awesome insights about this super exciting matchup coming your way!
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Arizona Wildcats
Arizona is coming off a 31-24 loss to Washington and were unable to pull out a win in the 4th quarter as Washington outscored Arizona by four in the final period.
When looking at Arizona’s performance vs. the spread, they have covered in every game so far. Through five games, they have been the underdog two times and the favorite one time.
This season, Arizona has an over/under record of 0-3. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 46.6 points, with the typical over/under line being 60.9 points.
Arizona Wildcats Stats
Arizona’s rushing attack is ranked 61st in college football with 152 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 155.2 rushing yards per game, placing them 62nd nationally.
On average, they are attempting 34.8 passes per game leading to 273.6 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 47th position, averaging 27.6 points per game.
This season, the Wildcats’ defense has allowed 99 rushing yards per game, ranking 171st. Opponents average 248 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 99.4 against Arizona.
They hold the 61st position in NCAA points allowed.
The Wildcats’ offensive performance against Washington resulted in 342 yards of offense, with 110 gained on the ground and 232 through the air.
Their third-down conversion rate was 5/13, and they recorded three passing touchdowns.
USC Trojans
In their most recent game, USC matched up with Colorado and came out on top with a 48-41 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, USC held a seven-point lead.
Even though USC has been the underdog in all of their games, they are still a perfect 5-0 against the spread.
The team’s scoring differential for the season is currently +29.4 points per game.
This season, USC has posted an over/under record of 4-1 through five games. On average their games have combined for 77.8 points.
USC Trojans Stats
On the offensive side, USC has averaged 53.6 points per game this season.
This figure has them 1st in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 382.4 passing yards, is ranked 2nd nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 42nd in rushing yards with an average of 136 rushing attempts per contest this season.
The Trojans’ passing game featured 40 pass attempts for 403 yards and six scores vs. Colorado. In the rushing department, they averaged 3.8 yards per carry and notched one rushing touchdown.
Coming into this week’s game, the USC defense is 75th in points allowed at 24.2 points per game.
So far, team’s have averaged 256.6 passing yards per game vs. the unit (134th). On the ground, they are giving up 147.8 rushing yards, putting them 93rd in college football.
Arizona Wildcats vs. USC Trojans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Wildcats are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Trojans are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Wildcats are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Trojans have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wildcats’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Trojans’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Arizona vs. USC Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildcats | +1050 | +924 | +22 | +21.5 |
| Trojans | -2500 | -2000 | -22 | -21.5 |
4* Free Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Arizona +21.5
Man, this USC defense is really bumming me out. They gave up a whopping 69 points to Arizona State and Colorado combined! I can’t help but think the Wildcats are gonna cover easily.
USC’s front line doesn’t scare anyone, and I bet those Wildcats’ running backs are gonna pound the ground on Saturday.
With Notre Dame on the horizon, will USC remain focused on Arizona, or will they look ahead and potentially underestimate the Cats?
Going into this matchup, USC’s offense has had difficulty converting on third downs as well. I expect them to struggle once again and like Arizona +21.5.
Arizona are 4-1 ATS in their L5 games, and SC are 2-5 ATS in their L7.
For the total my model has this one coming in at 74.
It’s all about the OVER for me because of how explosive the Trojans offense can be, but this line is tight. So play it small.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of SC’s last 13.
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Arizona Wildcats vs. USC Trojans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The USC O-Line & D-Line are my keys to the game in this one!
USC center Justin Dedich said the offensive line was "physically beat" against Colorado last week, and going into their game against Arizona on Saturday, the Trojans went "back to the basics of our technique."@C_Morrissette has the details:https://t.co/117WJCDlEz
— USC Trojans Football (@uscfootball) October 5, 2023
The Wildcats D has to get after it on Saturday.
https://twitter.com/ArizonaFBall/status/1709254879792033919
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