Free NCAA Pick: Arizona vs. Arizona State Odds
Looking for Arizona Wildcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wildcats taking on the Sun Devils on Saturday, November 25th at the Mountain America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Arizona Arizona State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(8-3) Arizona Wildcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-8)
Date: Saturday, November 25th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
NCAA Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Arizona -12.5 | Arizona State +12.5
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Arizona -495 | Arizona State +365
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51
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It’s called the Territorial Cup. It’s been played since 1899. Seriously!
Want to know about the history of this week’s game between #16 Arizona Wildcats (8-3, 6-2 Pac-12) and their in-state rivals, the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-8, 2-6 Pac-12)?
The Wildcats hold a 50-45-1 advantage in the all-time series, and they’re aiming for their second consecutive victory against the Sun Devils. Last year, they triumphed 38-35 in Tucson, snapping a five-game losing streak against Arizona State.
In 2022, Arizona secured a three-point win, marking a crucial turnaround in this historic rivalry. Stay tuned for more insights and updates on this exciting matchup!
The most recent matchup between these teams finished with a 38-35 win for Arizona. Arizona will hope to run the ball well once again as the last time they faced up they put up 280 yards on the ground.
As for Arizona State they finished with 537 yards of total offense compared to Arizona at 480.
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Arizona Wildcats
Fueling Arizona’s most recent 42-18 win over Utah was a strong first quarter. In the game, they were up 21-0 after the opening quarter.
So far, Arizona has been favored four times and the underdog in four games.
This has led to an ATS record of 6-2 and an average scoring differential of +11.5.
This season, Arizona holds an over/under record of 2-6. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 52.7 points, with the typical over/under line set at 58 points.
Arizona Wildcats Stats
The Wildcats come into their matchup vs. Arizona State 80th in college football at 341 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 154.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 69th nationally.
Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 35 times each game, accumulating an average of 284.3 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 32nd, with 32.1 points per game.
The Arizona defense holds the 78th position in points allowed, allowing 20.6 points per game. Teams have an average of 243 passing yards per game against them (137th nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 101.5 rushing yards, placing them 21st in college football.
The Wildcats’ passing game featured 33 pass attempts for 325 yards and four scores vs. Utah. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.9 yards per carry and notched one rushing touchdown.
Arizona State Sun Devils
Arizona State will be looking to rebound from a 49-13 loss to Oregon. Heading into the fourth quarter, Arizona State trailed by a score of 21-3.
Having been the underdog in all of their games so far, Arizona State has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their scoring margin for the season is -12.1 (per game).
Arizona State has put together an over/under record of 4-6 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 46.6 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 51.5 points.
Arizona State Sun Devils Stats
Arizona State comes into the game with an offense averaging 17.3, which places them at 101st in the NCAA rankings.
Their passing game has them ranked 70th nationally, with an average of 222 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 114th in the nation, with 325 rushing attempts per game for the season.
Arizona State’s offense finished the game with one rushing touchdown against Oregon and covering 111 yards with 18 attempts.
However, their passing game didn’t produce any touchdowns and finished with 205 yards on 47 pass attempts.
Arizona State’s defense is ranked 84th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup.
Opponents have attempted an average of 34.3 passing attempts against the Sun Devils. They have given up 29.4 points per game so far, placing them 124th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 57th.
Arizona Wildcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Wildcats are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Sun Devils are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Wildcats are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Sun Devils have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wildcats’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Sun Devils’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Arizona vs. Arizona State Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Wildcats | -535 | -491 | -12.5 | -12.5 |
Sun Devils | +400 | +357 | +12.5 | +12.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Arizona State +12.5
The Sun Devils are big underdogs, getting 10.5 points against the Wildcats (the game’s total points expected is 50). The Wildcats just beat Utah, scoring 42 points to their 18.
Meanwhile, the Sun Devils had a tough time in their last game, losing 49-13 to the Ducks.
For a moneyline bet, I like Arizona to pick up the win. However, my recommendation is to stick to the moneyline, as our model gives Arizona State a decent chance at covering. Even though they come in as the home underdogs, I like Arizona State to cover. I’m counting on their strong pass rush to make things tough for Arizona. My point spread pick is Arizona State at +12.5.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 51 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 56 points.
I’ve got some college football betting trends to share with you. When Arizona State plays at home against Arizona, they’ve won 5 out of the last 5 times (5-0 SU). Also, Arizona State has a good track record against Pac-12 conference opponents, with 6 wins, 2 losses, and 1 tie against the spread (6-2-1 ATS).
On the other hand, Arizona hasn’t been as strong in recent matchups. They’ve only covered the spread 2 times out of their last 6 games against Arizona State (2-4 ATS). In terms of straight-up wins, Arizona has won just 1 out of their last 6 games against Arizona State (1-5 SU).
When playing on the road, Arizona has struggled, winning only 5 out of their last 20 games (5-15 SU). And when these two teams face off, the total score has gone OVER in 8 out of the last 11 games.
These trends provide useful insights for NCAA football bettors, helping them make better choices when gambling on college football this week.
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Arizona Wildcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
#Outwork
Getting ready for game day 🔱 #ActivateTheValley /// #OwnYourStrength pic.twitter.com/nXDOZgLyGU
— Sun Devil Football (@ASUFootball) November 22, 2023
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