Free Week 4 Prediction: Crimson Tide vs Tigers Odds
Looking for Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Missouri Tigers free picks? Week 4 betting sees the Crimson Tide taking on the Tigers on Saturday, September 26th at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Missouri. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Alabama Missouri Week 4 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 4
(0-0) Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Missouri Tigers (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 26th, 2020
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Missouri
NCAA Football Spread: Alabama -27
NCAA Betting Total: 56
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The big bad SEC finally joins the fray this weekend…thank you!. This is the first game of the day but there is probably not much drama.
For Alabama, we will just be looking to see what players have been slotted into the places where those now in the NFL used to be.
At Mizzou, this is the first game of the Eli Drinkwitz era. There is energy but the circumstances are not helping him out much.
Alabama Crimson Tide
The Alabama offense was amazing last season, finishing second in scoring behind only LSU. They are replacing their triggerman and some weapons but 7 starters return.
All eyes will be on Mac Jones this season. He proved last year he can do the job though not as dynamically as Tua. Bryce Young was a top recruit and the athletic frosh is waiting in the wings.
Alabama could probably win 90% of its games by just handing the ball off to Najee Harris et al. Their top three runners and four offensive line starters all return.
That number matches the number of returning starters on the defense (4). They “plummeted” to 13th nationally in points allowed last season but they recruit and coach so well on that side of the ball every year. Patrick Surtain III is a stud at corner.
Alabama is still as talented as ever and you can bet Nick Saban will have them ready to start this weird season on the road.
There was a lot of excitement for Drinkwitz when the hire was announced. He might be a nerd but he is an offensive one and has built good units on that side of the ball everywhere he has been.
In addition to a new coach and schemes, there is going to be a new quarterback for Mizzou too with Shawn Robinson, a transfer from TCU getting a shot. He is athletically gifted for sure but he is also turnover prone.
Top rusher Larry Rountree III returns for his senior season. He has been an effective player throughout his career and is climbing the career leaders board.
Missouri does not get the pub they deserve on defense. Nick Bolton is one of the best linebackers in America and seven starters return overall. This unit is going to have to keep them in games until the offense gets up to speed.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- ALA are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 10-2 in ALA last 12 games in September.
- Over is 16-6-1 in ALA last 23 games on fieldturf.
- Under is 9-1 in MIZZ last 10 home games.
- Under is 12-2 in MIZZ last 14 conference games.
- Under is 16-5 in MIZZ last 21 games overall.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Pick
Facing Alabama in your opening game of the season is a tough test. Add in a new coach, and the restrictions due to COVID-19 and this is about as difficult a way to start a season as you can get.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Missouri +27
This is not a fade of Alabama. There is a very real chance they boat-race Mizzou and win tis one 49-6. However, I think the Tigers will have some success on defense and Drinkwitz will have cooked up enough on offense to make this one sort of competitive.
Alabam might not feel threatened at all during the game but they are not quite there in terms of shredding opponent yet either.
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