Free Week 11 Prediction: Crimson Tide vs Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi St. Bulldogs free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Crimson Tide taking on the Bulldogs Saturday November 11th at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Alabama Mississippi State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(9-0) Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi St. Bulldogs (7-2)
Date: Saturday, November 11th
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field, Starkville, Mississippi
NCAA Football Spread: Alabama -14
NCAA Betting Total: 51
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This SEC matchup features the number 2 ranked Crimson Tide traveling to face the Bulldogs.
Alabama comes in after a big victory over LSU while Miss. St struggled against UMass.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama vs LSU was always a prime matchup with the victor having the drivers seat to the National Championship during the BCS Era, but since the creation of the College Football Playoff it has taken a backseat to other marquee rivalries.
Jalen Hurts continues to play at an excellent level, but the sophomore struggled at times against the Tigers defense. Hurts put up arguably his worst offensive performance of the season, as he was just 11-24 for 183 yards and a score, while also chipping in 44 yards on the ground.
Hurts will need to play at a much higher level as the season winds down, and I expect him to put up big numbers against the Bulldogs defense.
Damien Harris leads the Crimson Tide in rushing, but didn’t get anything going against the Tigers front seven. He ran the ball 9 times for 33 yards and didn’t find the end zone.
Look for Harris to get the ball at least 15 times and reach the 100 yard mark.
The Alabama defense was excellent against the Tigers, as they allowed just 10 points and seemed to be in sync all afternoon.
Minkah Fitzpatrick is their star in the secondary but is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury. If he is ruled out that may gave Miss. St. opportunities to throw the ball down the field.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Bulldogs are lead by dynamic QB Nick Fitzgerald, who is looking to get the upset of Alabama.
He is an excellent dual threat QB which normally gives Saban’s defenses fits. Against Umass he ran the ball 17 times for 135 yards and 2 scores.
Fitzgerald should be able to make plays with his legs and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him throw for 200 yards and rush for 100 in such a high stakes game.
Aeris Williams is the other key man in the Bulldogs rushing attack and he ran the ball well against the Minutemen. He carried the ball 24 times for 114 yards, which was his first 100 yard effort in 4 games.
The Alabama front seven will be tough to run the ball against, and I think Williams will struggle to reach 50 yards on the ground.
Donald Gray missed the last game and has been inconsistent this season down the field.
If the Bulldogs aren’t able to get a consistent opening down the field, then the Bulldogs may be forced to become one dimensional and play into the strengths of Alabama’s defense.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings at Mississippi State.
- Under is 14-3-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
- Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
This will be a close game in the first half, but Alabama will pull away in the 3rd quarter.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Alabama -14
Hurts will have a huge game and lead Alabama to victory with 4 total touchdowns.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Alabama 35 – Mississippi St 21
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