Free NCAA Pick: Alabama vs. Auburn Odds
Looking for Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Crimson Tide taking on the Tigers on Saturday, November 25th at the Jordan-Hare Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Alabama Auburn matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(10-1) Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers (6-5)
Date: Saturday, November 25th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
NCAA Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Alabama -14.5 | Auburn +14.5
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Alabama -698 | Auburn +473
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49
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The Alabama vs. Auburn football rivalry, called the Iron Bowl, has been going on since 1893, and they’ve faced off 87 times. In this battle, Alabama has the upper hand with a 49-37-1 lead in the series.
When they play in Birmingham, Alabama still holds the edge at 34-18-1. It’s a historic matchup that’s been going strong for a long time.
Alabama currently holds the bragging rights over Auburn as in their most recent head to head matchup, they won 49-27. When looking at how the two offenses performed in this game, Alabama ran for 173 yards while throwing for 343.
As for Auburn, they finished with 77 while running for 318.
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Alabama Crimson Tide
In their most recent game, Alabama matched up with Chattanooga and came out on top with a 66-10 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Alabama held a 21-point lead.
This season, Alabama has a scoring margin of +19.2. Their ATS record stands at 7-3 and they have been favored in all of their games.
Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Alabama’s games has been 51.4 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 53.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-3.
Alabama Crimson Tide Stats
On the ground, the Crimson Tide are 26th in college football at 427 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 177.3 (42nd). So far, they have turned to the passing game 23.2 and have a per game average of 229.
Overall, they are 15th in points (36.5 PPG).
Alabama’s defense is ranked 168th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 30.9 passing attempts against the Crimson Tide.
They have given up 17.4 points per game so far, placing them 60th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 38th.
In the passing game, the Crimson Tide threw the ball 24 times for 259 and three scores against Chattanooga.
On the ground, they averaged 10.2 yards per carry and finished with five rushing touchdowns
Auburn Tigers
In their most recent game, Auburn took on New Mexico State and lost by a score of 31-10. The Tigers trailed New Mexico State by -3 going into the 4th quarter.
Against the spread, Auburn has gone 5-5 this season.
The Tigers have been favored five times compared to five games as the underdog.
Heading into this week’s game, Auburn’s over/under record is 4-6. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently -2.2 with their games averaging 49 points per game.
Auburn Tigers Stats
Auburn’s offense is averaging 27.5 points per game, which ranks them 57th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 162.9 passing yards on average, putting them at 117th in the nation.
Their rushing attack is currently 21st in rushing yards, with an average of 431 rushing attempts per game this season.
In the game against New Mexico State, the Tigers’ offense generated 213 yards of offense, with 65 coming from rushing plays and 148 from passing plays. On third down, they converted 2 out of 10 attempts and threw one touchdown in total.
This season, the Tigers’ defense has allowed 156.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 118th. Opponents average 196.5 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 85.3 against Auburn.
They hold the 76th position in NCAA points allowed.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Crimson Tide are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Tigers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Crimson Tide are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Crimson Tide’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Tigers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Alabama vs. Auburn Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Crimson Tide | -455 | -685 | -11 | -14.5 |
Tigers | +340 | +478 | +11 | +14.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Auburn +14.5
The Crimson Tide are the top pick (-14) in a game that’s looking pretty one-sided against the Tigers. The total score is set at 49 points. In their previous match, the Crimson Tide faced off against the Chattanooga Mocs and came out victorious with a whopping 66-10 win.
Meanwhile, the Tigers had a tough time in their recent game, losing 31-10 to the New Mexico State Aggies.
Though I anticipate Alabama winning outright, I suggest sticking to the moneyline. We do have Auburn covering the spread but Alabama is the way to go straight-up. Turnovers in the passing game have been a concern for Alabama this season. In this home underdog scenario, I like Auburn to cover the spread at +14.5.
Up to this point in the season, Alabama games have an average of 53.9 points scored. Considering the over/under line at 49, I’m going with the over.
My model calls for 54+ points in this one.
Here are some college football betting stats I found: Auburn has a good record at home against Alabama, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 matchups. They’re also doing well in November, with a 6-1-1 ATS record in their last 8 games this month.
On the other hand, Alabama has seen high-scoring games lately, with the total going OVER in 6 of their last 7 games overall and 4 of their last 5 November games.
These betting trends provide useful insights for College football bettors, helping them make better choices when gambling on NCAA football this week.
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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Have a blessed day, Auburn Family!#WarEagle🦅 pic.twitter.com/MTvgg8ZBpJ
— Auburn Football (@AuburnFootball) November 23, 2023
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