Free Week 8 Prediction: Falcons vs Running Rebels Odds
Looking for Air Force Falcons vs. UNLV Running Rebels free picks? Week 8 betting sees the Falcons taking on the Running Rebels on Friday October 19 at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Air Force UNLV free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 8
(2-4) Air Force Falcons vs. UNLV Running Rebels (2-4)
Date: Friday October 19
Time: 10:00 pm EST
Venue: Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
NCAA Football Spread: Falcons -12
NCAA Betting Total: 60½
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Air Force used to be one of the most reliable programs in the country but of late they seemed to have lost their way. Not so much in terms of strategy as their style hasn’t changed, but the results just aren’t there. They have gone from spunky to pushover.
This was supposed to be a bit of a turnaround season for the Running Rebels. The results have not bee there for UNLV either. It definitely hasn’t helped losing Armani Rogers, an underappreciated run/pass quarterback. Both teams have yet to win a conference game.
Air Force Falcons
The Falcons have to be pleased with their win over Navy so far but not much else. They have lost mostly close games though, most recently on the road against San Diego State. The way things are looking their might be only one more win on the schedule.
They are 15th in the nation running the ball but 248ypg on the ground is not cutting it. What is really hurting this group is not getting much when they run the ball with the quarterback. They have tried a couple of guys there but none has “run” with the job.
Normally the defense is fairly stout and that has been the case this season too. They are only yielding 21ppg but the offense has been so lame that the wins have not come. They are stingy against the run which gives them a great chance in this one.
UNLV Running Rebels
The Running Rebels got hammered the last two weeks and now injuries may have curtailed what was supposed to be a breakthrough season. When healthy this is a sneaky good running team, 9th in the nation at 257ypg.
The bulk of that rushing comes from Lexington Thomas. Unfortunately the feature back left their last game with a head injury and is questionable. The status of QB Armani Rogers is worse. He is out with broken toe, which takes away a huge part of that audience.
A perfectly healthy UNLV team would have made for an interesting challenge for the Falcons and we might have seen one of the fastest games of the season as these two running focused teams bashed a way at each other. Now we are getting a watered down version.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- AFA are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 conference games.
- Over is 20-6 in AFA last 26 conference games.
- Over is 6-2 in AFA last 8 road games.
- Over is 15-5 in UNLV last 20 home games.
- UNLV are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
- UNLV are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 Fri. games.
Free Week 8 NCAA Football Pick
UNLV might be missing some key playmakers but I doubt they are going to change the way they play, they are just likely to be less effective. Air Force is coming in as heavy favourites.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: UNLV +12
This line has Air Force as pretty significant favourites…just a little too rich for my tastes. Unless they jump all over them early I see this one being decided in the last quarter with Air Force getting the plays they need.
I do not see a blow out at all. These teams are relatively familiar and even if Thomas is a total no-go I think the Rebs will score enough to just cover the number.
Week 8 Free Score Prediction: Air Force 31 – UNLV 20
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