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Eastern Carolina vs. Kentucky Liberty Bowl Gambling

NCAAF: LIBERTY BOWL HITTING UNDER

Liberty Bowl bettors are backing the Over for Thursday’s Liberty Bowl but Sportsbook.com members should take a closer look at the Under for the matchup between East Carolina and Kentucky.

The Liberty Bowl has been an amazingly solid wager for Under bettors and has hit Under the Total in 13 of the last 16 contests. Despite that, the trends show that 78% like the chances of this game going Over the 41-point total.  

For bettors looking to pick the side, the East Carolina Pirates out of the Conference USA, are three-point favorites over Kentucky, of the SEC.

The fact that an SEC team is giving points to a CUSA squad shows that, other than Florida and Alabama, it wasn’t a banner year for what has long been considered the best conference in the country. A Kentucky Wildcats loss to East Carolina would be a big blow to the conferences reputation.

The Wildcats are on a three-game losing streak, finishing 2-6 SU and ATS in the SEC. The defense wilted down the stretch and they are 8-19 ATS in road games after not covering the spread in two out of last three.

East Carolina had three seasons rolled into one. The first and last parts were outstanding with not much in the middle to brag of. When called upon, the Pirates were up ready and upset Tulsa 27-24 and are 9-0 ATS as visitors after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. Kentucky is an underdog and is 4-1 ATS in this spot.CFB Pick

Liberty Bowl Series Trend: Typically renowned for matching high scoring teams from Conference USA against the SEC, Mountain West, or WAC conferences, this bowl game series has gone UNDER the total in 13 of the last 16 games. The SEC is a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS in its last three Liberty Bowls.

Top ATS Trend
• E CAROLINA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better since 1992. The average score was E CAROLINA 33.0, OPPONENT 29.7 – (Rating = 3*)

Top Totals Trend
• KENTUCKY is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992. The average score was KENTUCKY 21.0, OPPONENT 22.2 – (Rating = 1*)

Recent EAST CAROLINA Bowl Game Trends
* E CAROLINA is 0-2 SU & ATS in L2 bowl games as a favorite.
* The underdog has dominated E CAROLINA bowl games, 5-1 SU & ATS in L6.
* In E CAROLINA bowl games with totals less than 50, UNDER is 3-0.

Recent KENTUCKY Bowl Game Trends
* KENTUCKY has gone UNDER the total in four of its L5 bowl games.
* The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the L7 KENTUCKY bowl games.
* KENTUCKY is 4-1 ATS in its L5 as a bowl game underdog.

Liberty Bowl Prediction: EAST CAROLINA by 3

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