PGA Betting – Wyndham Championship Preview & Pick
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LAST WEEK: Jason Day was a straight-up miss at the PGA Championship, as he missed the cut. It was a head-scratching performance from the eighth-ranked player in the world. It’s not like picking Day was a stretch; he’d finished second at two other majors this season. We should bounce back with our pick this week.
If you prefer birdies and ridiculously low numbers to major championships, you’ll enjoy the Wyndham Championship this week. The host course, Sedgefield Country Club, has played as the easiest par-70 on Tour twice in the last three years and was the second-easiest the other year. It had the lowest scoring average on Tour last season.
With an easy setup this week – only putting seems to play reasonably tough – we’re best off looking at who is hot. Everyone should play the course well but hot golfers should play it especially well.
Date: Aug. 18 – 21
Event: Wyndham Championship
Course: Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, North Carolina
Purse: $5,200,000
Defending Champ: Arjun Atwal
FEDEX Cup Pts: 500
THE ELITE
David Toms
Wyndham Championship odds: +1200
Any way you look at it, Toms is a great fit this week. He’s hot, having posted consecutive top-10s and finished fourth at the PGA. He has six top-10s on the season. He’s shown an ability to go really low, with some rounds in the low-60s this year, including back-to-back 62s at the Crowne Plaza Invitational. 
He’s also a top-20 guy on Tour in putting. Toms has a ton going for him here.
THE CONTENDERS
Webb Simpson
Wyndham Championship odds: +2000
Webb missed the cut last week but he’s still the Tour’s leader in all-around ranking. He can go low; he ranks eighth on Tour in adjusted scoring average and he shot a 63 at Sedgefield last season en route to an eighth-place finish.
Bill Haas
Wyndham Championship odds: +2000
Haas has been consistent, making eight straight cuts. He hasn’t dominated at Sedgefield but he did go 36 straight holes without a bogey there last season and shot a 62 there the year before.
Brandt Snedeker
Wyndham Championship odds: +2500
Snedeker is another guy beautifully suited to this tournament. He seems to love it; he won it in 2007 before it moved to Sedgefield. Since the move, he finished fifth two years ago and eighth last year. He’s second on Tour in putting. Snedeker could make major noise this week.
Charles Howell III
Wyndham Championship odds: +2500
Like Haas, Howell has made eight straight cuts. He’s one of the Tour’s better putters, he’s ninth in scoring average and he finished a respectable 13th in his only other visit to the Wyndham. Solid mid-range pick.
SOLID PICKS
Anthony Kim
Wyndham Championship odds: +3000
Kim won’t get any awards for consistency but he’s always someone to consider at a tournament where going really low is important. His bogey-free 62 at the recent Greenbrier Classic reminds us that, even if Kim has slipped, he’s still a birdie maker who can dominate when hot.
Jason Dufner
Wyndham Championship odds: +4000
Dufner’s game doesn’t really suit this tournament, as he’s one of the Tour’s weakest putters, but he’s fresh off a runner-up finish at the PGA Championship and could be motivated to dominate after last week’s collapse.
THE SLEEPER
Cameron Tringale
Wyndham Championship odds: +5000
As far as sleepers go, I wouldn’t call Cameron Tringale a high-end one. He’s not overly hot of late and his peripherals don’t really jump out. He’s an above-average putter and he’s 16th on Tour in birdies made, so he has a few skills that make him worth consideration.
THE PICK
To me, this tourney is all about Toms and Snedeker. They jump out at me far more than anyone else on this list. So how do we choose? Snedeker offers double the value but he’s also cold. He has two missed cuts in his last three tournaments and he hasn’t posted a top-10 since winning The Heritage in April. Before that victory, he had a 15th and a fourth, so it’s not like his win came out of nowhere.
Toms’ game fits Sedgefield just as well as Snedeker’s does but he’s the far hotter golfer right now. Of Toms’ last 12 rounds of PGA golf, 10 have been in the 60s. He’s playing well of late and his putter is on. He’s an educated choice any way you look at it. It’s too bad he doesn’t offer great value. But this is simply a case of the oddsmakers really getting it right.
2011 Wyndham Championship pick: David Toms +1200
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2011 Wyndham Championship – Odds to Win – Updated Betting Odds
David Toms 12/1
Bill Haas 20/1
Webb Simpson 20/1
Charles Howell III 25/1
Brandt Snedeker 25/1
Brendon De Jonge 25/1
Jim Furyk 28/1
Ian Poulter 33/1
Lucas Glover 33/1
Spencer Levin
Kyle Stanley 40/1
Anthony Kim 40/1
Chad Campbell 40/1
Kyung-Tae Kim 40/1
Padraig Harrington 40/1
Retief Goosen 50/1
Jason Dufner 40/1
Ben Crane 50/1
Trevor Immelman 50/1
Chris Kirk 50/1
Pat Perez 50/1
Carl Pettersson 40/1
Ernie Els 50/1
Chez Reavie 60/1
Davis Love III 50/1
Brandt Jobe 60/1
Cameron Tringale 60/1
Paul Casey 66/1
Bud Cauley 66/1
John Rollins 66/1
Steve Marino 60/1
Henrik Stenson 66/1
Angel Cabrera 80/1
Kris Blanks 80/1
Johnson Wagner 80/1
Chris Riley 80/1
Chris Couch 80/1
Hunter Haas 80/1
Jerry Kelly 80/1
Nick O’Hern 80/1
Heath Slocum 80/1
D.J. Trahan 100/1
Chris Dimarco 80/1
Bill Lunde 100/1
Chris Stroud 80/1
Jimmy Walker 100/1
Steve Flesch 80/1
Blake Adams 80/1
Garrett Willis 80/1
Camilo Villegas 80/1
Josh Teater 100/1
Vijay Singh 100/1
Michael Letzig 100/1
J.J. Henry 100/1
Troy Matteson 100/1
Vaughn Taylor 100/1
Justin Leonard 100/1
Tommy Gainey 100/1
Kevin Stadler 100/1
Bob Estes 125/1
John Merrick 100/1
Scott McCarron 125/1
Rod Pampling 125/1
Arjun Atwal 125/1
Marc Leishman 125/1
George Mcneill 150/1
John Mallinger 125/1
Woody Austin 125/1
Aron Price 125/1
Kevin Chappell 125/1
Michael Thompson 150/1
Ben Curtis 125/1
Ryuji Imada 100/1
James Driscoll 150/1
Joe Durant 150/1
David Hearn 150/1
Tom Pernice Jr. 125/1
Tim Petrovic 150/1
David Mathis 150/1
Matt Bettencourt 150/1
Jim Renner 150/1
Matt Mcquillan 150/1
Tom Gillis 150/1
Matt Jones 150/1
Michael Connell 150/1
Jason Bohn 150/1
Shane Bertsch 150/1
