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Week 6 Titans vs. Pats NFL Predictions

The Tennessee Titans and the New England Patriots will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Gillette Stadium. We preview and pick this week 6 game that has the Patriots picked to win by 9.5…

NFL Betting Odds – Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots

BetUS NFL betting odds: NEW ENGLAND -9, Total 43
Tennessee Titans (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS) at New England Patriots (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Sunday, October 18 – 4:15 PM ET

In the football odds, the Patriots are listed as a nine-point favorite, with a posted total of 43 points.

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Here are some NFL betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

TENN has covered one of its last seven games
TENN has lost its last seven games SU
TENN has covered 15 of its last 23 road games
TENN has covered one of its last five road games
TENN has lost its last five road games SU
TENN has played nine of its last 13 road games UNDER the total
NE has won seven of its last nine games SU
NE has plated eight of its last 12 games OVER the total
NE has played four of its last six games UNDER the total
NE has covered five of its last 16 home games
NE has won 21 of its last 25 home games SU
NE has played five of its last six home games OVER the total

Also…

NE has won four of the last five meetings SU
Five of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
NE has covered four of the last six meetings as the home team
NE has won seven of the last eight meetings SU as the home team
Four of the last five meetings in Foxborough have gone OVER the total

New England has actually played three pretty decent games in a row, beating playoff contenders Atlanta and Baltimore before running into the hot Denver Broncos last week and losing as a favorite in the NFL betting odds. This does, in a way, coincide with the return of Wes Welker to the lineup. Welker, who caught 223 passes the lat two season, has 26 in his three games, and makes Tom Brady (61.4%, 6 TD’s, 2 INT’s) more efficient. What the Pats would really like to do is get its running game going a little more, behind Sammy Morris and Lawrence Maroney.

The thing is, New England is right in the midst of the AFC East race with a 3-2 record, while Tennessee is 0-5 (1-4 in the NFL betting odds) and already five games behind Indianapolis in the AFC South. They have played themselves out of the playoff race in a hurry, and were utterly non-competitive in last Sunday night’s gutless 31-9 defeat at the hands of the Colts.

Even though New England would like to run, they may be able to get away with not doing it, since Tennessee has allowed a robust 288 yards a game through the air, surrendering 71.5% completions and 13 touchdown passes. With injuries to the likes of Nick Harper and Cortland Finnegan, this is not an area of great optimism.

The shining light for Tennessee has been running back Chris Johnson, who has averaged six yards a carry, with 468 total yards. However, as teams have discovered that the Titans’ air game is less of a threat, they have concentrated more on him, and his numbers have gone downward the last four weeks, to the point where he had just 34 yards against Indy.

Kerry Collins can zip the ball once in a while, but he’s clearly losing it, and has already thrown more interceptions (seven) than he did all last year. He doesn’t stretch the field enough, and that means Johnson will have to have the game of his life almost every week to keep Tennessee within earshot.

New England welcomed Jerod Mayo back to the defensive lineup last week and that was obviously a good thing. Now Junior Seau has announced that he is coming back – again.

This team has covered four of its last five when coming off a loss. Tennessee has win three of its last 12 games since getting off to that big 10-0 start last season., Frankly, if there was a spot where they were going to bring some heart to the table, it would have been last week at home, but that didn’t happen. We’re laying the points with New England, the nine-point favorite in the BetUS NFL betting odds.

OUR PLAY: NEW ENGLAND -9 ***

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"