Saturday NFL Betting – Saints to Demolish Confused Cowboys
No two playoff contenders in the NFC are bewildering me more than New Orleans and Dallas. I’m actually pretty serious about this. While New Orleans is perfect, they’ve nearly lost to Washington, St. Louis and Chris Redman.
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Dallas has been all over the place and has suddenly lost two crucial games against the Giants and the Chargers. One team is perfect on paper and the other team is far from it, but each of these football teams is walking a very fine line between playoffs and sudden obscurity.
Yes, if the Saints lose a game, they will be dissected to death and we will have our noses rubbed in some “The Saints Weren’t Mean To Be Perfect…and Here’s Why!” crap from writers when other fans like you and me have seen this coming for weeks.
The problem is that I don’t think Dallas is the team to do it. New Orleans has been getting calls like crazy from the refs and it’s highly contested that they won the game against Washington. They’ve been pushed to the limit by virtually every team in the last five except for an abysmal squad from Tampa Bay. The Saints are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
Betting against the Saints overall, however, has been just hazardous to your healthy. They’ve 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games, undefeated this season at home and are 5-0 ATS when playing Dallas. They screw you in games that should be virtual locks, and they cash in your sports betting picks when they clear the house with teams like the Patriots. So against an iffy and completely questionable opponent like Dallas, I’m just as stuck as you are.
Dallas Cowboys (8-5) vs. New Orleans Saints (13-0) [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Saturday, December 19th
Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans — 8:20pm EST
NFL Betting Line: New Orleans -7.5 (53.5)
Whenever I’m stumped on a game that has my betting instincts going haywire, I find solace in the numbers, and here’s what they’re telling me. On average, the Cowboys have scored 5.8 points less than what they should have considering their opponents. This is why they’re 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games! On average, they score almost two field-goals less than what teams give up. Basically they’re taking a girl back to the dorm whom everyone on campus has scored with, and all they’re getting is a handjob and maybe a boob touch.
The Saints, despite all their deficiencies in the last few games, have scored 10.8 points more than what their last five opponents have allowed on average. The Cowboys may rank 6th overall on defense, but they’ve been sacked with a huge injury to DeMarcus Ware, whose neck is making him a 50-50 call for this game. Even with him, do you think that Dallas is suddenly going to find ways to rush the passer?
My major concern in this game overall is Dallas on the road. They’re 1-4 ATS in their last 5 sports betting matchups away from home and are 4-8 SU in their last 12 roadies overall. With the Saints remaining perfect and getting just a shade over a touchdown, I still feel safer with them than with a one-track offense with Tony Romo playing in an insanely loud Superdome. Bad offensive numbers, terrible NFL betting trends and Tony Romo. That’s a trifecta against the Cowboys if you ask me.
As for the TOTAL, I’m taking the UNDER. New Orleans is terrified of screwing the pooch with a perfect season hanging in the balance and Dallas can blow up regardless of their own ineptitude (on occasion).
Free Pick: New Orleans -7.5 (OVER)
