NFL Week 11 Betting Preview
If you like to bet numbers than last week you should have went with nine and six. Nine underdogs covered the spread with six teams; Jacksonville, Carolina, Kansas City, Green Bay, Cincinnati, and Washington winning outright. There were nine home teams that won straight up and nine home teams that won ATS. Nine games went over the total bet, while six games stayed under.
Here is a rundown of all this week’s games and the current lines as supplied by MySportsbook.com.
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Thursday, Nov. 19
Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers (-3)
Over/Under 43.5
Both teams are 4-5 and fighting for their playoff life. Statistically these teams are very evenly matched but Carolina playing at home gives them the edge. The Panthers and the UNDER.
Sunday, Nov. 22
Indianapolis Colts (-1) at Baltimore Ravens
Over/Under 44.5
This is the ultimate trap game for Indianapolis after last week’s dramatic come from behind victory over New England. The Colts will letdown just enough for Baltimore to steal a win. The Ravens and the UNDER.
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-11)
Over/Under 41.5
This game is a classic NFC East rivalry where the underdog as been known to pull off the upset on numerous occasions. The Redskins and the UNDER.
Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions (-3.5)
Over/Under 38.5
You do not often get a chance to see the worst team in the AFC square off against the worst team in NFC, nor do you want to but here it is. The Lions and the UNDER.
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-6.5)
Over/Under 42.5
Each team’s defense has stepped up lately and this game should be no different. San Francisco’s game plan will lean heavily on RB Frank Gore getting it done on the ground. The 49ers and the UNDER.
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8)
Over/Under 43
Jacksonville has worked their way back into the AFC playoff picture and faces a completely disorganized Bills team that just fired their head coach. The Jaguars and the UNDER.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) at Kansas City Chiefs
Over/Under 40
Unfortunately for Chief fans, Kansas City is facing the wrong team at the wrong time as Pittsburgh will be looking to prove they are still the team to beat in the AFC. The Steelers and the OVER.
Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (-11)
Over/Under 46
If Seattle QB Matt Hasselbeck has a big day they may be able to pull off the upset over a Minnesota team that appears to be a bit complacent lately. The Seahawks and the OVER.
Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (-6.5)
Over/Under 46
Both teams are 5-4 as the Giants are coming off their bye week and the Falcons are coming off a bad loss to the Panthers. New York head coach Tom Coughlin will have this team ready to go. The Giants and the UNDER.
New Orleans Saints (-11) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over/Under 50.5
Even though they are 9-0 the Saints have had three close games in a row with teams they should have easily beaten. I do not see this happening four weeks in a row. The Saints and the OVER.
Arizona Cardinals (-9) at St. Louis Rams
Over/Under 46.5
Arizona is once again pulling away from the pack in the NFC West and as long as Kurt Warner keeps completing passes to his own players they should keep winning. The Cardinals and the OVER.
San Diego Chargers (-3) at Denver Broncos
Over/Under NL
The status of Denver QB Kyle Orton is currently keeping this one a guessing game as far as the lines. If the Broncos end up getting points I like their chances at home in a fairly low scoring game. The Broncos and the UNDER.
New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10.5)
Over/Under 45
There will be no need for any tough decisions in this game as other than the start of the game the score will never be that close. The Patriots and the OVER.
Cincinnati Bengals (-9.5) at Oakland Raiders
Over/Under 36
The Bengals have to avoid a letdown after back to back divisional wins over the Ravens and the Steelers, but even a subpar performance should be enough to beat the Raiders. The Bengals and the UNDER.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at Chicago Bears
Over/Under 45
Donovan McNabb, a Chicago native threw for 450 yards last week against the Chargers. Do not expect the same numbers against a Bear’s defense that is ranked 8th against the pass. The Eagles and the OVER.
Monday, Nov. 23
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-5)
Over/Under 48
The 5-4 Texans are coming off a bye week and the Titans are on a three game winning streak which suddenly makes this an interesting match-up. The Titans and the UNDER.
There are a lot of teams with records right around .500 that desperately need a win this week to stay in the playoff chase. Keep an eye on the tightest division, the NFC East as there could very well be a three way tie at the top by late Sunday night.
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