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Redskins vs. Buccaneers Gambling Odds & Week 4 Free NFL Pick

Washington vs Tampa Bay Betting

Headline: Someone’s Two Game Losing Streak Will End – Skins vs. Bucs in Week 4

The Washington Redskins have scored an average of 33 points per game this season and yet they are 1-2. On Sunday they head out on the road to take on a Tampa Bay team that looked absolutely dreadful on offense last week against Dallas. Both teams are desperate for a win this Sunday. 2-2 is a heck of a lot better that 1-3.

Washington Redskins (1-2) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2)
Date/Time: Sunday, September 30, 2012, 4:15 PM ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Broadcast: FOX
Skins vs. Bucs Betting Lines from betonline.com
Spread: Buccaneers -3 (+100)
Moneyline: Skins +125: Bucs -145
Over/Under: 48 points

Matchup | Preview

It is clear early in the season that Robert Griffin III is the real deal. In Washington’s Week 3 loss he accounted for 221 yards and a touchdown through the air and led the team in rushing with 85 yards. A stat that jumps off the page is that Griffin has accounted for over 900 yards and 7 TDs already in his young career. Alfred Morris has also looked good in the Skins backfield. He ran for 78 yards last week, 89 in Week 2 and 96 in Week 1. Washington is a complete offense, capable of putting up a ton of points. Now if the defense would do its part.

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So far this season the Skins are 31st against the pass and ninth against the run. They are also 29th in points against – they give up 33.67 points per game! It’s a good thing that they are playing against an offense that has been far from impressive this year on Sunday.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers looked decent in their first two games this season – a 16-10 win over Carolina and a 41-34 loss to the Giants. But last week’s effort against Dallas was horrendous. They looked out of sync and totally inept on offense. Josh Freeman passed for 110 yards and leading rusher Doug Martin went for 53 yards on the ground – Yuck!

Heading into Sunday’s contest the Bucs own the 30th ranked passing offense – just 149 per game and the 21st ranked running game – 94.67 yards per game. They haven’t done much outside of their Week 2 shootout in New York. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Tampa Bay’s defense did their job last week that’s for sure against Dallas but they still, despite last week they own the worst pass defense in the league. But they own the best rushing defense in the game – everyone is having too much success through the air!

Betting Prediction:

A few trends to consider:

  •  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games
  •  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
  •  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
  •  Washington is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
  •  Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
  •  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing Washington
  •  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
  •  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games at home

This game will likely come down to who score the most points – obviously! Washington will score just like they have in every game this season – the Bucs likely won’t be able to keep pace.

I love the Skins as underdog in this game – the Bucs are ripe for the pickin’ and frankly, they aren’t that good!

Pick: Washington Redskins +3


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About DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.