Chiefs Over / Under Season Wins
Apparently some in Vegas expect the Kansas City Chiefs to experience a minor setback in 2014, as the current over/under for wins is set at eight.
Over Under Lines
2013 Record: 11-5 (2nd in AFC West)
Kansas City Chiefs o8.5 (even) u8.5 (-130)
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Kansas City went 11-5 last season in their first-year under general manager John Dorsey and head coach Andy Reid.
The 2014 campaign was complete 360-degree spin from a miserable 2012 season that ultimately cost former general manager Scott Pioli his job. But it still ended with a compete meltdown against the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Wild Card game.
So, are the Chiefs going to be anything better than a middle-of-the-road team in 2014?
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Well the NFL futures market thinks so, but I think different.
The Chiefs finished second in the AFC West last year, and return several Pro Bowlers. And with another year in Reid’s system, it should translate onto the field.
However, KC does face a much tougher schedule in 2014 than it did in 2103. But, no AFC defense allowed fewer points than the Chiefs a year ago (19.1), which was a large part of the team’s success, along with the outstanding play of their special teams. The Chiefs also had one of the league’s best turnover margins at +18, and finished with the third-most interceptions n the NFL.
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Offensively, running back Jamaal Charles was the catalyst for the Chiefs in 2013, and along with starting quarterback Alex Smith, who most had all but written off, there is plenty of reason to believe that Kansas City will be a major factor in the AFC for years to come.
Charles finished 2013, with a league-best 19 touchdowns, and was 3rd in the league with 1,287 rushing yards and 2nd in total yards from scrimmage with 1,980.
Smith meanwhile, threw for 3,313 with 23 touchdowns to just seven interceptions. And to a mediocre receiving corps, which is one of two main areas that are cause for concern for Kansas City in 2014.
The other is the team’s offensive line, which was one the youngest offensive lines in the league last season, and will be even younger after losing starting left tackle Branden Albert and right guard Jon Asamoah. That means the Chiefs will have to rely heavily on a couple of inexperienced players on the right side.
As for the receiver positions, KC is still thin, failing to pick up any major additions during the offseason.
Matt’s Free Prediction — OVER
And while I am sure that the Chiefs won’t be able to match last year’s 11-wins, I don’t think it will be too far away.
Last year, the over/under for total wins for the Chiefs was 6.5, and the team almost doubled that number, so with a second year under Reid, I expect Kansas City finish at 9-7, which should be good enough for second place finish in the AFC West.
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