San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview
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San Francisco at Kansas City NFL Lines
Date/Time: Sunday, September 26, 1 PM ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Broadcast: FOX
San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Lines from Sportsbook.com
Money Line: Chiefs (+125) 49ers (-145)
Spread: 49ers -2 ½
Over/Under: 37
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San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Preview
In a non-conference match up this Sunday afternoon the Kansas City Chiefs host the San Francisco 49ers. NFL betting lines have the 49ers as 2.5-point favorites in this game with a total of 37.
The Chiefs are off to a 2-0 start, which is a little surprising since they do not rank in the top 20 in the league in offense or defense. Kansas City is really struggling on offense, as they rank 30th in the league only averaging 254.5 yards per game. They will have to come up with some offense in this game, which will not be easy since San Francisco has such a good defense ranked 4th in the league.
San Francisco had high hopes coming into the season and they were the pre-season favorites to win the weak NFC West, but they have lost their first 2 games. However, they played solid last week in the Monday night loss to the defending Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints. The 49ers may have to win this game and if they do not there may be some panic in the Bay Area.
These 2 teams have not met since the 49ers lost to the Chiefs 41-0 in K.C. in 2006.
The Chiefs are looking to go 3-0 for the first time since 2003, which is the last year they won the AFC West.
Last Sunday the 49ers lost to the New Orleans Saints 25-22 and the Chiefs beat the Cleveland Browns 16-14.
Heading into this non-conference match up the Chiefs are 2-0 ATS and the 49ers are 1-1 ATS.
The Chiefs are led by QB Matt Cassel, who did lead Kansas City to a win last week, but he did not play great passing for 176 yards with 0 TD and 2 INT. He does not have a great WR corps, as the leading Chiefs’ receiver is TE Tony Moeaki with only 79 yards.
While the 49ers are great at defending the run their pass defense is only decent ranking 14th in the league and last week gave up 237 passing yards to the Saints.
Where the Chiefs are strong on offense is their rushing attack, which is averaging 124.5 yards per game and last week in the win over Cleveland they had 140 rushing yards. RB Jamaal Charles is averaging an AFC-best 6.4 yards per carry and he and RB Thomas Jones, who had 83 rushing yards last week, form a great backfield tandem.
The run defense of San Francisco is great, as they rank 6th in the league giving up an average of only 63.5 yards per game. The 49ers are holding opponents to only 2.7 yards per carry and San Francisco held the Saints to only 50 rushing yards last week.
Kansas City has scored as many TD’s on kick returns (2) as they have on offense (2) this season.
The San Francisco offense is led by QB Alex Smith, who bounded back and had a decent game last week after a horrific opening game. In the loss to the Saints Smith passed for 275 yards with 1 TD and 2 INT. He will be facing a Chiefs’ pass defense that ranks 25th in the league.
RB Frank Gore had a great game against the Saints rushing for 112 yards with 1 TD averaging an impressive 5.6 yards per carry. Kansas City ranks 9th in the league in rushing defense and last week against the Browns they only gave up 73 yards on the ground. If Kansas City cannot stop Gore they may be in trouble.
What killed the 49ers in their loss to the Saints were their mistakes. They botched a snap off a shotgun that led to a safety, fumbled a ball on the Saints’ 3 yard line, and had a pass intercepted on the Saints’ 26 yard line. They cannot make these types of mistakes again in this game, especially when they are deep in the Kansas City territory.
The 49ers will come out and play well and get their first win of the season and cover the spread against a Chiefs team that is not as good as their 2-0 record indicates.
Trends:
Kansas City is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games, and has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games when they are the underdog.
San Francisco is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win, and has an Under record of 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games.
Pick: 49ers -2 ½
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Jason did OK last week going 4-4 for the week in the college game and while he has yet to be below .500 for any of the 3 weeks he wishes the Redskins could have played some D against the Texans in losing their first game of the season to the Lone Star State.
