NFL Handicapping – Raiders vs. Falcons Betting Spread / Matchup
The Falcons (5-0) are one of only 2 remaining undefeated teams and while the Raiders (1-3) are coming off a bye they were crushed in their previous game.
Venue/ Stadium: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, October 14, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Raiders +320 / Falcons -400 by Sportsbettingonline.ag
Spread: Falcons -9
Over/Under: 48
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Oakland Raiders vs. Atlanta Falcons Preview
The Raiders’ defense has struggled this season and that is not good facing the Falcons at home and Matt Ryan, who has the 2nd best QB rating in the league. NFL lines have the Falcons as 9-point favorites with a total of 48.
In their last games the Falcons beat the Washington Redskins 24-17 and the Raiders lost to the San Diego Chargers 37-6 a couple weeks back.
On the season the Raiders are 1-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-2 and the Falcons are 4-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-3.
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Ryan has passed for over 1,500 yards with 13 TD and only 3 INT and he has one of the best WR duos in the league in Roddy White and Julio Jones. He also has TE Tony Gonzalez, who has a huge game against the Redskins. The Raiders pass defense only ranks 27th in the league and their secondary has been bit hard by the injury bug.
Michael Turner has only rushed for over 100 yards once this season, but that may change after this game facing an Oakland run defense that only ranks 24th in the league.
The Raiders only have 3 sacks on the season and they have only forced 3 turnovers.
Carson Palmer leads a good Raiders’ passing offense and Brandon Myers and Denarius Moore are each averaging over 14 yards per catch, but they only have combined for 28 receptions. They will be facing the strength of the Falcons’ defense, which is their pass defense that ranks 7th in the league. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Atlanta has struggled against the run this season, but that may not be bad since the Raiders’ rushing offense ranks dead last in the league. In the Raiders one win Darren McFadden rushed for over 110 yards with a TD, but in their 3 losses he has totaled 88 yards with 0 TD. It is key that he runs the ball well to eat up the clock and keep the Atlanta offense off the field.
In some betting trends for this non-conference game the Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and they have an Over record of 8-3 in their last 11 games.
The Falcons are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Jason’s Pick: This one is an easy one to call, as I do not think the Raiders have a chance and the Falcons will easily win and at home and cover the spread.
