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Minnesota vs. Kansas City Free Week 4 Preview & Pick

Bet On NFL Football – Minnesota Vikings vs K.C. Chiefs Gambling Preview

Minnesota is the most surprising of the group of teams that is currently 0-3.  Not because they are any good but because in all three of their games they held double digit leads only to give them up over the course of the second half and lose – most recently to Detroit in overtime.   

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs
Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, Missouri
Sunday October 2 – 1:00PM
Moneyline:  Minnesota -132, Kansas City +110
Spread (ATS): Minnesota -1
Over/Under: 39.5
Odds courtesy of 5Dimes

Minnesota

 To me the losses are not the surprise, the surprise is that they led so significantly in these games in the first place.

To say that Minnesota is desperate is an understatement.  2011 is already a lost season but if they lose this week, to the consensus worst team in the league, the feeling around the team will change – the coach might too.  Minnesota should be able to exploit Kansas City in the running game using Adrian Peterson.  He has been effective all season but they seem to be unable to keep him going for a whole game.

The Vikings have won three of their last four against Kansas City, most recently in 2009.  They are 3-0-1 in those contest with the lone SU loss and ATS push on a visit to Arrowhead in 2007.  That stadium is one of the better home field advantages in the league but given the state of the home team some of that advantage may be negated.

Kansas City

Lots of people thought last year’s division winning season was a mirage but nobody predicted this kind of regression.   [soliloquy id=”82219″]

The Chiefs have easily been the worst team in the NFL after three games and with injuries mounting as well there is little reason to expect a rebound over the course of the season.  We are not necessarily talking epic fail but they might be lucky to reach half of last season’s win total.

It may be simplistic but it is easy to see why the Chiefs are struggling…they can’t score – just 9ppg.  The cause of this is poor play at QB from Matt Cassel, who has yet to have a game where he has thrown for more than 176 yards or didn’t turn the ball over.  He is not the only one to blame as losing last year’s top rusher Jamaal Charles for the season is not helping matters.  Last year’s leading rushing team is down about 50 yards per game in that category from a year ago and not coming close to making it up through the air.

At least the Chiefs put up a fight last week at San Diego.  Now that they are returning home their might be some hope that they attempt to salvage their pride this season.  Since this game has them as the slight underdog you can see just what Vegas thinks of these guys.  My opinion is a little bit higher, although not much.

ATS Pick:  Kansas City +1
Over/Under Pick:  Over
Score Prediction:  Kansas City 24 – Minnesota 21

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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