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2010 AFC Wild Card Odds: Jets Bengals Free Predictions

NFL Wildcard Playoff Betting – Jets vs Bengals Preview & Pick

It’s safe to say the Bengals have little to prove this week. Everyone doubted the Cardiac Cats throughout the season and they responded by running the table against their own division and winning the AFC North Crown. This is a good, not great, football team and everyone knows it. The Jets are a different story.

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They squeaked into the playoffs at 9-7 but did so after the Colts and Bengals both lay down and rested starters in the second half against them in Week 16 and Week 17.

The Jets got a free pass and need a powerhouse effort to show they deserve d a postseason berth at all.

New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals – Saturday, January 9, 4:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favourite: Bengals -2.5

We know what we get with the New York Jets: a flawed but effective team that does some things extremely well. Not surprisingly, Rex Ryan completely transformed Gang Green’s defense; after one season under his tutelage, they rank first in total defense, passing defense and scoring defense. They rush the passer well and Darrelle Revis unofficially owns the title of the NFL’s top shutdown corner. Revis bottled up the NFL’s best all year long, from Andre Johnson to Randy Moss, and should handle a hobbled Chad Ochocinco if No. 85 (knee) is healthy enough to play.

The Jets also have the NFL’s top rushing offense. Shonn Greene takes a backseat to Thomas Jones for now, as Jones, one of the league’s least appreciated backs, finished third in the NFL in rushing. The chink in New York’s armor is clearly Mark Sanchez.

The rookie pivot started the season well but buckled as the season progressed, finishing with 12 touchdown passes and 20 interceptions.

The Bengals don’t wow anyone but do everything well, sporting a top-10 rushing offense, the league’s No. 4 defense and a respectable pass rush. They arguably have the AFC’s best one-two punch at cornerback in Jonathan Joseph and Leon Hall. Cedric Benson ran with purpose in his inspiring comeback season, amassing 1,251 yards in just 13 games.

Interestingly, the Jets and Bengals are two highly similar squads. Both play outstanding defense, run the ball well and have problems passing. However, a home game in frigid Cincinnati gives the Bengals a crucial edge at quarterback.

Carson Palmer struggled at times this season, especially in his horrific 1-for-11 performance against the Jets in the season finale. But he’s still the more experienced pivot with more developed vision and solid 12:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio at home.

The Sanchize isn’t ready to win a road playoff game in cold weather. He threw four touchdown passes versus 13 picks when playing in temperatures below 60 degrees Fahrenheit this season. The Jets will try to limit his throws, yes, but what happens if they fall behind? They can’t rely on the running game in that case. This is an even matchup on paper but I think we’re about to see a Sanchez meltdown. Bet on the Bengals to avenge their embarrassing Week-17 loss.

Gambling Trends:

NY Jets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Jets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
NY Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets

Pick: Bengals -2.5

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Shea Matthews lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national newspapers. He now applies his knowledge to sports betting and handicapping every day, and shares his winning picks with the world.

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