Miami vs San Francisco Betting
Headline: 49ers Looking for a Bounce Back – Fins Pay Visit in Week 14
The San Francisco 49ers will be happy not to see the St. Louis Rams again this season – the Rams have played them to a tie and they beat the 49ers in Week 13 to take a little lustre off of Colin Kaepernick. Controversy? What controversy?
Miami Dolphins (5-7) vs. San Francisco 49ers (8-3-1)
Date/Time: Sunday, December 9, 4:05 PM ET
Venue: Candlestick Park
Broadcast: CBS
Fins vs. 49ers Betting Lines from SportsbettingOnline.ag
Spread: 49ers -10 (-110)
Moneyline: OFF
Over/Under: 39 points
ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!
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The Miami Dolphins pay visit this week as the 49ers try to limit game changing mistakes and attempt to get back in the win column.
The Miami Dolphins were supposed to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season but have played terrific football at times and unfortunately some rather poor ball at others. The result – a 5-7 record and another lest season in South Florida. With a rookie QB, an inconsistent running game, a defense that has seen better days and with a rag-tag bunch of pass catchers, the Fins will be in tough this week against a team that most consider in the top tier of NFL teams.
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Miami enters Sunday’s showdown with the league’s 23rd ranked passing offense and the 17th ranked running game. The problem – points scored! The Fins are 27th in the league in that respect averaging just 18.92 points per game. Ryan Tannehill has been OK and the tandem of Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas have had moments this season but more often than not, they have fallen short of what it takes to contend in the tough AFC East. The numbers are about right – Miami is an average team that is in serious need of some quality pieces. All-Pro tackle Jake Long has been lost for the season which is a blow for Miami’s O-line and ultimately the offense that depends on his presence for success.
Miami has been a good run stopping team so far this season – a good sign when faced with the prospect of going against Frank Gore and company. They are 8th in the NFL against the run allowing just 97.67 yards per game. The pass defense is another story altogether. If it is not penalties, it is their lack of ability to limit the opposition’s passing game that has been their downfall this year. The Fins are 27th versus the pass allowing 257.67 yards per game through the air.
The San Francisco 49ers fell victim to poor execution and poor play calling in their Week 13 game against St. Louis. Mistakes cost them the game. Now the 49ers get back on the field sticking with their rookie QB with the Seattle Seahawks suddenly nipping at their heels in the standings.
The 49ers come into Sunday’s game with the league’s 25th ranked passing game – ironically that ranking has crept up since Colin Kaepernick took over at pivot. With a host weapons at his disposal, it is up to Kaepernick to get it done against Miami’s porous secondary or risk being replaced by the very capable and healthy Alex Smith.
San Francisco owns the league’s second best running game – we know that Frank Gore and the rarely used Brandon Jacobs will get their chances. The 49ers are still a running team – their success offensively has to be keyed on their elite running backs.[soliloquy id=”82219″]
Defensively, the 49ers continue to be one of the best the league has to offer. They are second against the pass allowing just 189 yards per game and they are third versus the run surrendering just 90.58 yards per game. The Niners allow 14.25 points per game – best in the NFL.
Betting Prediction:
• The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 8 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games on the road
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing San Francisco
• Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
• San Francisco11-2-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
• San Francisco is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
• San Francisco18-6-1 SU in its last 25 games
• San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
10 points is a hefty spread indeed but I have confidence that San Francisco will bounce back against a Miami team that looks to be fading into the sunset. The Fins won’t be able to run on the 49ers and they likely won’t be able to pass on them either. On the flip side, there seems to be little that can slow the 49ers running game and with Miami’s brutal pass defenders, the San Francisco passing attack should find some holes as well.
It will be a tremendous learning experience for Ryan Tannehill Sunday although not a pleasurable one!
Pick: San Francisco 49ers -10
