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Handicapping Week 3 Gambling Trends: ATS Stats, Angles, & NFL Matchups

2014 Cappers NFL Database Trends

We are a couple of weeks in and unfortunately it is the off field stuff that is getting all of the attention…I mean we can’t even get a good story about how Kirk Cousins is better for the Redskins than RGIII. Still we are watching and wagering on the games so lets take a closer look at the key ones this week.

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NFL Handicappers Trend Analysis

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Today we want to point out other NFL wagering angles that have produced results in recent years. So having said that, here are some NFL week 3 against the spread, Over / Under and Head to Head NFL trends we feel you should be keeping your eye on for some KEY NFL Week 3 matchups.

Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta

  • Thursday Sept 18
  • 8:25PM
  • Georgia Dome – Atlanta, GA
  • Atlanta -6

Tampa Bay

Buccaneers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

Atlanta

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
Over is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 7-1 in Falcons last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Look for the Falcons to win at home but I want that number to drop or else I am going to tease it with something else on the card.

Washington vs. Philadelphia

  • Sunday September 21
  • 1:00PM
  • Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, PA
  • Philadelphia -6.5

Washington

Under is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 vs. NFC East.
Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Philadelphia

Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 vs. NFC East.
Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games in Week 3.
Over is 7-1 in Eagles last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Head to Head

Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.

Eagles finally play a complete game and win easily. Cousins will be good but not good enough to trade scores with the Eagles.

Baltimore vs. Cleveland

  • Sunday September 21
  • 1:00PM
  • FirstEnergy Stadium – Cleveland, OH
  • Baltimore -2

Baltimore

Under is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games in September.
Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 games on grass.

Cleveland

Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 7-0 in Browns last 7 games following a ATS win.

Head to Head

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.

They popped the cork on Johnny Football last week in what wound up being a win over New Orleans. Getting another one against Baltimore might not be as challenging.

Green Bay vs. Detroit

  • Sunday September 21
  • 1:00PM
  • Ford Field – Detroit, MI
  • Detroit -2.5

Green Bay

Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 road games.
Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Detroit

Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Head to Head

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Both teams are looking for the upper hand in the division. If you follow the H2H trend it looks like the Lions are the pick. I can get behind that.

San Francisco vs. Arizona

  • Sunday September 21
  • 4:05PM
  • University of Phoenix Stadium – Glendale, AZ
  • Arizona +3

San Francisco

Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 road games.
49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Arizona

Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games in September.
Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Head to Head

49ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Arizona.
49ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

I like what I have seen from the Cardinals this season…a lot. Love the way their corners set up their defense to fly around up front. Arizona takes round one in this series.

Denver @ Seattle

  • Sunday September 21
  • 4:25PM
  • CenturyLink Field – Seattle, WA
  • Seattle -5

Denver

Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games in September.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Seattle

Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.
Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games in September.
Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

This Super Bowl rematch is likely to be a little closer than that game was. Seattle limps home looking to get back to winning and I think that makes this line a little more playable.

Pittsburgh vs. Carolina

  • Sunday September 21
  • 8:30PM
  • Bank of America Field – Charlotte, NC
  • Carolina -3.5

Pittsburgh

Over is 5-0 in Steelers last 5 games in Week 3.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3.
Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Carolina

Under is 6-0 in Panthers last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Panthers last 6 games in Week 3.
Under is 11-1 in Panthers last 12 games overall.

Carolina is riding high and you can argue they are not even playing all that well. This team improved steadily throughout last season and they are good bet to continue their winning ways on Sunday night. Just shave that half point off though.

Chicago vs. New York Jets

  • Monday September 22
  • 8:30PM
  • Met Life Stadium – Meadowlands, NJ
  • New York -3

Chicago

Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

New York Jets

Jets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 10-1 in Jets last 11 games in Week 3.
Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games on fieldturf.

The Bears pulled a stunner on Sunday and are on the road again. I would have thought they would have little more respect than the number indicates. They are a top dog for the weekend.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 3 Odds.



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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