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NFL Free Pick: Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta Gambling Lines & Handicapping Preview

Week 3: Buccaneers vs Falcons Predictions

NFL Week 3 betting action sees the Atlanta Falcons taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday night at the Georgia Dome down in Atlanta  Cappers Picks provides free NFL handicapping tips all season long.

Both of these teams are looking up in their division right now. The Bucs especially are looking to get their first win of the season against their NFC South rival Falcons. It won’t be easy on the road

NFL Betting Lines

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-2) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-1)
Thursday September 18
8:25PM
Georgia Dome – Atlanta, GA
NFL Network
NFL Football Betting Lines: Atlanta -6
NFL Football Betting Total:  44.5
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Tampa Bay

The Bucs are in really big trouble. Not only are they 0-2 and already two games behind division leader Carolina but they are seriously banged up. RB Doug Martin is questionable on offense and so is rookie TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins.

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On defense things are much worse with DT Gerald McCoy and DE Charles Johnson unlikely to play the defensive line is going to be very thin.

They need to be able to get pressure on Falcons QB Matt Ryan and it is going to be very hard to do so.

One bright spot has been the early play of RB Bobby Rainey. The speedster was electric against St. Louis in the loss last week and if he can withstand the pressure and the pounding week after week he can be a real weapon.

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So far the notion of bringing in Josh McCown and surrounding him with towering wideouts like he had in Chicago last year has yet to bear fruit.

Atlanta

The Falcons could easily be in the same boat as Tampa at 0-2. Their lone win was at home in week #1 when they needed a fumble in overtime to complete a come from behind victory.

This is a team that can be really strong in the passing game but the rest of their team is nothing special, especially defensively.

They are going to keep trying to establish the running game but in most games they are going to have to bomb away to have success.

Atlanta will have to pass to win so this one is going to come down to how well the Bucs secondary can cover.

I like their personnel back there but without a rush to speed up Matty Ice eventually the Falcons will pick them apart.

The number on this one is a little too rich for me on the ATL side given that they are so weak on defense and cannot run the ball to shorten the game.

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NFL Football Handicapping Trends

  • Buccaneers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
  • Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
  • Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 7-1 in Falcons last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

NFL Football Week #3 Prediction:  4* Play on Tampa Bay +6

Atlanta is going to win but there is not a lot of value on the line with this one.

NFL Score prediction:  Atlanta 31 – Tampa Bay 27

There is some great teaser potential though so look for another low value opportunity and tie the two together to punish your sportsbook.

Check out our Updated NFL Football Week 3 Odds.

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.