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NFL Free Pick: New England vs. Kansas City Betting Lines & Preview

NFL Odds: Pats vs Chiefs Pick

NFL Week 4 Regular Season action sees the New England Patriots taking on the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday, September 29 at Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides free *NFL*handicapping tips all season long.

The Kansas City Chiefs will try to build off their first win of the season when they host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots on Monday Night.

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Monday Night Football
New England (2-1) at Kansas City (1-2)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, September 29, 2014
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Broadcast: ESPN
NFL Week 4 Betting Lines
NFL Week 4 Betting Line: Patriots -4 -110
NFL Week 4 Betting Over/Under: 45 -110
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The Chiefs could get Jamaal Charles back from injury this week which should help against a Patriots team that had its issues stopping the run this year. KC may have caught the Pats at the right time – despite a 2-1 record New England hasn’t looked great and almost let one get away last week against the lowly Raiders.


After three weeks of the season there are more questions than answers coming out of the New England Patriots camp – a loss opening week to an unflattering Miami team was followed by a win against a dysfunctional and obviously distracted Vikings team and a 16-9 win as 13 1/2 point favorite against the worst team in the NFL – Oakland.

Tom Brady doesn’t look himself and the New England Patriots – the offensive line is struggling, Rob Gronkowski is still working himself back into full health, and the pass catchers haven`t really scared anyone thus far.

Brady himself is averaging just 210 yards passing per game and he has thrown just three TDs total this year – unbelievable really!

A sketchy running game has also hindered the Pats so far – the fact that they struggled against a brutal Oakland run defense is a big eye-opener. New England gets a crack at a KC run defense that has been almost as bad as Oakland`s – if they don`t get it done this week, I fear that the run game is a lost cause.

Defensively the Patriots have been just fine holding their last two opponents to single digit point totals. But without a good offensive effort, the Pats look like an average team.


The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Miami Dolphins last week for their first win of the season – the same Miami team that beat New England in Week 1.


The win came after a good performance in a loss to the Denver Broncos in Week 2. With No Jamaal Charles, the Chiefs proved once again that they are one of the best running clubs in the game – Knile Davis has 132 yards in the win while Alex Smith had 186 yards passing and three TDs.

The Chiefs passing game may have their hands full with an improved Pats secondary – expect the Chiefs to run the ball early and often and further expose New England`s poor run defense.

KC`s defense has underachieved a tad this year – injuries to Derrick Johnson and tackle Mike DeVito have really had an effect.

This unit posted four sacks and they limited Miami to 205 yards passing last week – by far the best performance by the defense all season long.

The Chiefs` pass rush is no joke – they should be able to terrorize Tom Brady all night long.

NFL Week 4 Betting Monday Night Football Trends

• NE are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Over is 40-19 in NE last 59 vs. AFC.
• Over is 6-2-1 in KC last 9 games in Week 4.
• Under is 23-8 in KC last 31 home games.
• KC are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 4.
• NE are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Arrowhead is a tough place to play – on Monday night you have to believe that the pressure will be even greater. New England`s offensive line issues will likely be their undoing Monday as KC`s pass rush dominates Tom Brady and forces him into some uncharacteristic mistakes.

On the other side of the ball, expect the Chiefs to run the ball down New England`s throats en route to an upset home victory.

NFL Week 4 Monday Night Football 4* Play:

The Chiefs +4 to send the Pats to an unfamiliar .500 record

Check out our Updated NFL Week 4 Odds.

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About DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.