Atlanta vs Green Bay Free Pick
NFL Week 14 Regular Season action sees the Atlanta Falcons taking on the Green Bay Packers on Monday, December 8 at Lambeau Field. Cappers Picks provides free *NFL*handicapping tips all season long.
The NFC South leading Atlanta Falcons take their less-than-impressive 5-7 record into Lambeau Filed on Monday night to take on the white-hot Green Bay Packers.
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NFL Week 14 Betting Lines
Atlanta (5-7) at Green Bay (9-3)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, December 8, 2014
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Broadcast: ESPN
Atlanta Falcons +11½ -110 +480 Ov 56 -110
Green Bay Packers -11½ -110 -605 Un 56 -110
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Falcons
Both teams are coming off terrific wins against division leaders – the Falcons beat down the Arizona Cardinals in Week 13 28-19 while the Packers posted an uber-impressive win against New England. Can the Falcons ruin Green Bay’s perfect record at home or will they be just another casualty what looks to be the best team in the NFL right now? Let’s break it down.
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The Falcons finally put together a complete game last week – the passing game was off the charts, the running game was effective and even the defense showed up and did its part in the win. The Packers at Lambeau in December are a completely different challenge however – no matter how well they played indoors last week, the Falcons will have to improve drastically if they hope to keep up on Monday night.
Matt Ryan should be a confident guy coming off a 361 yard, 2 TD performance in Week 13 – it was his best outing in three months. He rediscovered Julio Jones in that game – Jones was absolutely dominant and should get his chances again this week – SHOULD. Jones burned perhaps the best cornerback in the game Patrick Peterson on numerous occasions and on paper has an even more intriguing matchup this week. Roddy White could return from injury and Harry Douglas has been playing well – Atlanta’s passing game could thrive and keep this game close at very least.
The problem with Atlanta’s passing offense is that we never know which Matt Ryan we are going to get. One area of Atlanta’s game that helped him immensely Sunday and could help him again in Week 14 is the running game that chewed up some yards against Arizona’s top tier rushing unit. Steven Jackson gained 101 of Atlanta’s 142 yards on the ground last week – a repeat effort could happen against Green Bay’s 28th ranked run defense.
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The Falcons clearly overachieved on defense last week – they are still among the worst in the league on that side of the ball. Last week’s effort seems to be more about how bad Arizona was rather than how good Atlanta was! Atlanta is near the bottom of the NFL in pass defense allowing 284.9 yards per game – be afraid Falcons fans – be very afraid!
Packers
The Packers have officially become the favorites to win it all this year – last week’s 26-21 win over the previously scorching patriots is further proof. The Pack have now won four straight games, are 6-0 at home and look like the best team in the NFC by far. Aaron Rodgers has 20 TDs and zero interceptions at home this year and is coming off a 368 yard, two TD, zero interception effort against Darrelle Revis and the stout New England pass defense.
Green Bay should have its way in the passing game for sure. Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb and company have been terrors all season long – no reason to think differently about this week! Eddie Lacy would also have himself a game here against Atlanta’s 21st ranked run defense. Lacy will have his chances against a defense that will be playing to stop the pass. He had 98 yards last week against a stout New England run defense and now gets a crack at a far inferior squad.
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Green Bay’s defense has been hit or miss all season long but proved last week that they are a more than adequate compliment for their high powered offense. A “Bend, Not Break” defense suits the Packers well – they should be fine against Atlanta this week.
NFL Week 14 Betting Trends
• Under is 6-2 in ATL last 8 games overall.
• GB are 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 7-1 in GB last 8 games on grass.
• Over is 7-2 in GB last 9 games overall.
• Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Other than the Patriots last week the Packers have been blowing teams out on home turf.
NFL Week 14 Betting Prediction
The Falcons are NO Patriots! Expect Green Bay to score at will on the Falcons and for Atlanta to struggle on the frozen turf of Lambeau.
Green Bay Packers -11 1/2
This game shouldn’t be close folks! The Falcons will be wishing they were at home in the dome!
Check out our Updated NFL Week 14 Odds.
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