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NFL Free Pick: Baltimore vs. New Orleans Betting Lines & MNF Preview

Ravens vs Saints Free Pick

NFL Week 12 Regular Season action sees the Baltimore Ravens taking on the New Orleans Saints on Monday November 24 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Cappers Picks provides free *NFL* handicapping tips all season long.

The New Orleans Saints will try to avoid an almost unfathomable three game home losing streak when they host the Baltimore Raven on Monday Night Football.

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Monday Night Football
Baltimore (6-4) at New Orleans (4-6)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, November 24, 2014
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Broadcast: ESPN
NFL Week 12 Betting Lines
Ravens NFL Betting Odds: +3½ -110 +170
Saints NFL Betting Odds: -3½ -110 -195
NFL Over/Under Betting Odds: 49.5
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Both teams are in the thick of playoff races – somehow the Saints are still in the NFC South picture and the Ravens find themselves in a huge battle for top spot in the surprisingly competitive AFC North.


The Baltimore Ravens arrive in New Orleans off their bye-week – rested, healthy and ready for what should be a fascinating stretch run.

The Ravens snapped a two game losing streak with a 21-7 win over Tennessee last time out in Week 10. They got back to stifling defensive play that has defined this team and the offense did just enough to post the win.

Baltimore’s defense has been very good this year – they weren’t great in Weeks 8 and 9 and the Ravens lost.

But if Week 10 is any indication the Ravens seemed to have righted the ship and should be formidable yet again as we head into this week. Against the Titans the Ravens recorded five sacks and allowed just 45 yards of offense against in the second half. Simply put, if the defense performs, the Ravens win – they have allowed just over 11 points per game in their wins.

If the defense falters, Baltimore loses – they have surrendered over 28 points per game in their losses.

The Ravens are just 21st in the league against the pass allowing 251 yards per game – Drew Brees figures to be a strong test for a unit that will be missing their best cover-guy Jimmy Smith who was sent to IR earlier this year.

Baltimore’s offense has been OK – nothing special so far this year.

Joe Flacco has been as Jekyll and Hyde a QB as there has been in the NFL – particularly on the road. We just never know what we are going to get from Flacco but off a bye, you’d have to hope that he and his mates have figured a few things out. Somehow the Ravens are 12th in the league in passing – 252 yards per game but at times it sure doesn’t look like it.

Jimmy Smith struggled mightily before the bye – he has to get back to dominating, Torrey Smith has been invisible at times and a finally healthy Owen Daniels needs to be utilized more to ensure offensive success for the Ravens.

Thank goodness for Justin Forsett who has taken over the starting role in the Ravens backfield. He has been sensational for Baltimore this year – arguably their offensive MVP.


The New Orleans Saints home town mystique is a thing of the past – two straight losses at the Superdome has the Saints searching for answers as we head into the stretch run.

Last week was a 27-10 loss to the previously struggling Cincinnati Bengals – the defense was poor and Drew Brees and company definitely didn’t look like themselves.

Not much went well for New Orleans last week – Drew Brees completed 33 of 41 passes for just 255 yards and the previously scorching Mark Ingram went for only 67 yards on 23 carries against Cincinnati’s questionable defense.

Brees has looked out of sorts for sure and when he isn’t on top of his game the whole New Orleans offense looks out of place.

Brees and the passing game still rank third in the NFL with 299.8 yards per game and Jimmy Graham, Kenny Stills and Marques Colston still exist – so there is hope that this team can turn things around.

The key for the Saints may be a struggling defense that made Andy Dalton look stellar and that made a household name of Jeremy Hill last week. Is there a more over-rated defensive coordinator in the NFL than Rob Ryan?

Off a game in which Andy Dalton’s passer rating was “2”, the Saints allowed his to go off and record a “144” passer rating! They also allowed Jeremy Hill 150+ yards rushing and a team that scored 3 points against Cleveland score 27.

The Saints defense isn’t very good folks – it will be up to a struggling Drew Brees on Monday night to get it done.

NFL Week 12 Betting Trends

• NO are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games.
• NO are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 12.

The Ravens are 2-3 ATS on the road this year while the Saints are just 2-3 ATS at home. It is pretty hard to trust the New Orleans Saints right now – the defense is crumbling and Drew Brees seems to have lost all of his mojo.

NFL Week 12 Betting Prediction

Baltimore, off their bye would have been watching what the Bengals did last week and will emulate their game plan this week.

4* Free NFL Pick: Baltimore Ravens +1 1/2

Baltimore is simply the better all-around team in this one!

Check out our Updated NFL Week 12 Odds.

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About DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.