Week 6 Odds: San Diego vs Oakland
The San Diego Chargers (4-1) play the winless Oakland Raiders (0-4) in an AFC West match-up. Make sure you keep coming back to Cappers Picks for our latest free NFL predictions all season long.
Oakland was off last week, so they’ve had time to think about their winless start. San Diego lost by 1 point in week 1 to the Cardinals, but since that loss the Chargers have gone undefeated.
NFL Week 6 Picks
San Diego vs Oakland
When: Sunday, October 12th 2014 at 4:05pm ET
Where: O.co Coliseum
TV: CBS
NFL Week 6 Gambling Line: Chargers –7
NFL Week 6 Gambling O/U Line: 43 Points
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San Diego has dominated this H2H series in recent years, as they’ve gone 4-1 (2-2 ATS). Oakland did pick up a win over the Chargers last season at home, but this Raiders team has been horrible.
The Raiders have already fired their coach and have basically thrown in the towel. San Diego on the other hand is out to a hot start, which is rare, as SD is a team that normally struggles until the final few weeks.
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Ryan Matthews is still out and while he’s out the Chargers have no run game (88.0 RYPG – 27th). The good news is that Philip Rivers has been playing great again this season even with limited weapons.
SD is averaging 26.6 PPG (9th) and 281.2 PYPG (7th). This will be a good test for Rivers, as Oakland ranks 5th against the pass (207.0 PYPG). Oakland also gives up 158.2 RYPG (31st) and 25.8 PPG (22nd).
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The reason I expect the Chargers will cover this game is because of their defense. San Diego has quietly put up great numbers. They’re allowing 12.6 PPG (1st), 194.8 PYPG (2nd) and 96.0 RYPG (9th).
Oakland is having trouble moving the football and this is the best defense they’ve played yet. Derek Carr is struggling and the Raiders experiment with two veteran RB’s (Jones-Drew & McFadden) isn’t working.
Offensively, the Raiders are picking up 12.8 PPG (32nd), 208.5 PYPG (25th) and 61.5 RYPG (32nd). It’s hard to score points when you’re averaging less than 300 offensive YPG, especially against a good defense.
The schedule gets a lot tougher for the Chargers down the stretch this season, so they can’t afford losing big divisional match-ups against a winless Raiders team even though they’re on the road.
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Week 6 NFL Gambling Trends
* SD are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Under is 13-3 in SD last 16 vs. AFC.
* Under is 11-4 in SD last 15 games in Week 6.
* Under is 15-1 in OAK last 16 games in Week 6.
* OAK are 1-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* OAK are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
* Underdog is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* SD are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Oakland has eight turnovers, which is an average of two per game. San Diego’s defense has forced eight turnovers and this is the type of match-up where the SD defense usually forces a couple.
Free NFL Pick: San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders
Oakland likes to hang around against San Diego and most games end up being fairly close (Within 10 Points). This is a big spread to cover on the road, but Oakland hasn’t shown me anything yet.
4* Free NFL Play On San Diego Chargers –7 (-110)
This team is in full rebuild mode and they’ll end up with one of the first picks of the draft along with the Jags. San Diego has Super Bowl aspirations and losing to Oakland would be unacceptable.
Check out our Updated NFL Week 6 Odds.
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