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Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Week 9 Preview & Free Pick

NFL Handicapping – Dolphins vs Colts Betting Spread / Matchup

The Dolphins (3-3) and Jets (3-4) have some bad blood between them after their week 3 game where All-Pro cornerback Darrelle Revis was lost for the season with a knee injury and Reggie Bush was taken off the field after a vicious hit.

Venue/ Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, November 4, 2012
NFL Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: Dolphins -130 / Colts +110 From Bovada
Spread: Dolphins -2
Over/Under:  43.5

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Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Preview

Not may though the Colts or Dolphins would have a winning record after 7 games, but each team is at 4-3 and are in the heat of their respective divisions. The Colts are 3-1 in their last 4 games and Andrew Luck has been playing great and nearly passed for 300 yards in last week’s OT win. Miami QB Ryan Tannehill is questionable for this game and if he cannot go Matt Moore will get the start.

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NFL lines have the Dolphins as a slight 2-point road favorite with a total of 43.5.

In their last games the Colts beat the Tennessee Titans 19-13 in OT and the Dolphins crushed the New York Jets, in the Big Apple no less, 30-9.

This season the Dolphins are 4-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-4 and the Colts are 4-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-4.

Luck’s top target is Reggie Wayne, who has the most receiving yards in the league. While the Colts have a solid offense they are making big turnovers and they are struggling to get in the end zone when they are in the red zone. Luck may have another strong outing since he will be facing a Dolphins’ pass defense that only ranks 27th in the league. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

After struggling to run the ball for most of the season the Colts ranked up 171 rushing yards in the OT win over the Titans last week With Donald Brown rushing for 80 yards and Vick Ballard rushing for 50. These guys may have a hard time in this game, as while the Fish have a weak secondary their run defense has been stellar this season ranking 2nd in the league.

Matt Moore played well when he came in for Tannehill last week in New York and he has a lot of experience. The WR corps is led by Brian Hartline (33 rec 555 yards 1 TD) and Davone Bess (32 rec 416 yards 0 TD) are a decent WR duo that is getting it done on the outside. Reggie Bush had a decent game against New York, but struggled in his previous 2 games. He and Daniel Thomas will share reps in the backfield.

The Colts’ defense is totally opposite of the Dolphins, as they have struggled against the run, but they have been solid against the pass.

In some betting trends for this AFC Match up the Dolphins are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games, 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they have an Under record of 15-6-1 in their last 22 games.

The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 19-6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 8-1 in their last 9 home games.

Jason’s Pick: I think Luck will have another solid game and the Colts will play decent defense, which is why Indy will win and cover at home.


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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.