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2013 NFL Prop predictions: Rushing Leader odds

2013 NFL Picks / Prop Bets

There wasn’t much of a competition for the rushing title a year ago as Adrian Peterson literally ran away with that distinction. With so many bettors expecting a highly unlikely repeat this season, there’s plenty of value to be found in the other names on the board.

Looking for 2014?

Here’s a look at five players that could steal the title from Peterson this season.

Odds courtesy of BetOnline.

Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs (+500)

Charles has overcome a lot in his time in Kansas City. After an explosive finish to the 2009 season, Charles appeared poised for a breakout in 2010, but head coach Todd Haley forced Charles into a timeshare with an aging Thomas Jones, limiting Charles to 230 carries. Charles still managed to put up 1,467 yards that year, averaging 6.4 yards per carry. Charles’s 2011 season was wiped out by an ACL injury, but he came back strong in 2012 and racked up 1,509 rushing yards despite constant misuse by Romeo Crennel and Brian Daboll. With Andy Reid running the show in Kansas City this year, expect the shackles to come off Charles as he is expected to receive a career-high in touches. There’s some concern that a lot of his touches will be in the passing game, but if he can get back to averaging better than six yards per carry that won’t be a huge concern.

Alfred Morris, Washington Redskins (+900)

Say what you want about Mike Shanahan and his treatment of running backs, but when he’s had a true workhorse he’s fed that back the rock with regularity. We’ve seen that with Marcus Allen, Terrell Davis, and Clinton Portis. Two of those guys are Hall of Famers. Now Shanahan has Alfred Morris, a back selected in the sixth round of the 2012 NFL Draft out of Florida Atlantic. He doesn’t really fit the profile, but Morris’s one-cut style fits perfectly into the team’s zone-blocking scheme, and after racking up 1,613 yards as a rookie the sky is the limit for Morris in year two as a Redskin.

Doug Martin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1000)

The Muscle Hamster didn’t disappoint in his rookie season with the Bucs, rushing for 1,454 yards in Greg Schiano’s offense. Martin’s prospects look even better in his second year. Improvements to the Tampa Bay defensive secondary will mean fewer shootouts and more opportunities to pound the rock. He won’t get to face Oakland this year, but Martin accumulated most of his yards with Pro Bowl guards Davin Joseph and Carl Nicks on the injured reserve. With those two big bodies making space for Martin, and no competition for touches out of the backfield, don’t expect a sophomore slump from the Boise State product. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

C.J. Spiller, Buffalo Bills (+1000)

The Bills selected Spiller ninth overall in the 2010 NFL Draft, yet he hasn’t seen the number of touches through his first three years with the club that one would expect from such a high selection. Stuck behind Fred Jackson on the depth chart, we were given a glimpse of what Spiller can do as ‘the guy’ last season when Jackson went down, and the Clemson product did not disappoint. Expect new head coach Doug Marrone to unleash Spiller this season.

Stevan Ridley, New England Patriots (+4500)

We all think of the Patriots as a pass-first team, yet head coach Bill Belichick put an emphasis on establishing the running game week in and week out last season, so much so that the Patriots were second in the NFL in rushing attempts. Entering this season, the team will be without each of their top-five pass-catchers from a year ago, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see them lean just as hard on their ground game. The team’s previous lead back, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, did his best work around the goal line, but Ridley offers more between the 20s. Ridley rushed for 1,263 yards a year ago.

NFL regular season rushing yardage leader odds:

Adrian Peterson +250
Jamaal Charles +500
Marshawn Lynch +650
Arian Foster +800
Maurice Jones-Drew +800
Alfred Morris +900
Doug Martin +1000
Trent Richardson +1000
C.J. Spiller +1000
Steven Jackson +1200
Chris Johnson +1200
Darren McFadden +1200
LeSean McCoy +1450
Ray Rice +1500
Frank Gore +2500
Montee Ball +3500
Matt Forte +3500
DeMarco Murray +3500
Reggie Bush +4000
Ryan Matthews +4000
Stevan Ridley +4500
Eddie Lacy +5000
Field +1200

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