NCAA Football Lines – California Golden Bears at UCLA Bruins
California Golden Bears (3-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) at UCLA Bruins (3-2 SU & ATS)
Saturday, October 17 – 3:30 PM ET
BetUS NCAA Football Lines: CALIFORNIA -3.5, Total 44
Here are some of the NCAA football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
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CAL has won six of its last eight games SU
CAL has covered four of its last 15 road games
CAL has lost five of its last six road games SU
CAL has played five of its last seven road games OVER the total
UCLA has covered four of its last six games
UCLA has lost 15 of its last 23 games SU
UCLA has played eight of its last nine games UNDER the total 
UCLA has covered ten of its last 13 home games
UCLA has played six of its last seven home games UNDER the total
Also….
UCLA has covered five of the last six meetings
Four of the last five meetings have gone OVER the total
UCLA has covered four of the last five meetings as the home team
UCLA has won six of the last seven meetings SU as the home team
We’re not going to go so far as to call California a “Jekyll-and-Hyde” team, but when the Bears, considered by many to be a top team at the season’s outset, have had to answer the bell, they haven’t responded. In fact, they have failed miserably, losing first by a 42-3 margin to Oregon and then getting drubbed 30-3 by USC. In those games, California gained a total of only 492 yards and gave up almost a thousand yards to the opposition. Obviously they haven’t demonstrated that they belong with the best of the Pac-10, or they can win with consistency in the NCAA football lines.
Well, they’re in luck, to an extent. UCLA doesn’t fit that mold, and the Bruins had trouble getting out of their own way against Oregon last week, with just 211 yards of offense. Kevin Prince, who returned to action, was ineffective and was replaced by true frosh Richard Brehaut. Prince, a redshirt freshman, will continue to be the starting quarterback, but he may be on a short leash. There truly may not be any solutions in sight for UCLA, which is ranked 114th in the nation on offense.
We admit to being a little guarded when it comes to talking about Kevin Riley, Cal’s junior quarterback, who has had two dreadful outings in a row, completing 27 of 71 (38%). He threw two TD passes in the 41-20 win in last year’s meeting. What California does have is the most dangerous offensive weapon in the game, when you talk about Jahvid Best, the running back who has not been able to duplicate his eight yards a carry from last year, but who can be a big factor if Cal doesn’t fall too far behind.
Obviously UCLA’s offense is not in an ideal position to pull away from anyone, for purposes of looking at the NCAA betting lines.
Whichever quarterback takes the snaps for UCLA, he will be staring down the barrel at one of the best pass rushes in the country, having registered 18 sacks this season.
Tyson Alualu, who was second-team All-Pac-10 last year, has four sacks and five tackles for loss. Riley has thrown only one interception, which is a positive.
In a game between run defenses that have performed well, Cal has more ways to move the ball, and will appreciate the drop in class. We’ll maintain some faith in the Bears, laying the 3.5 points in the BetUS NCAA football lines.
OUR PLAY: CALIFORNIA -3.5 **
