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Week 12: KU vs Texas Preview/Pick

Football Sportsbook – Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Longhorns (-27.5)

Kansas Jayhawks (5-5 SU, 2-7 ATS) at Texas Longhorns (10-0 SU, 4-5-1 ATS)

Saturday, November 21 – 7 PM ET
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
BetUS NCAA Football Sportsbook Odds: TEXAS -27.5, Total 57

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

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KAN is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games
KAN has lost its last five games SU
KAN has played three of its last four games UNDER the total
KAN has covered 12 of its last 18 road games
KAN has covered two of its last six road games
KAN has lost five of its last seven road games SU
KAN has played six of its last nine road games OVER the total
TEX has won its last 14 games SU
TEX has played nine of its last 13 games UNDER the total
TEX is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven games
TEX has played four of its last five home games UNDER the total

Also….

TEX has covered six of the last seven meetings
TEX has won the last seven meetings SU

Okay, maybe we’re willing to grant that the rift between coach Mark Mangino and quarterback Todd Reesing may have had more far-reaching effects than we imagined originally. Kansas has failed to cover any of its last seven games in the NCAA football sportsbook, and has lost five in a row, and Reesing was just 19 for 41 against Nebraska, although it does deserve mention that he has thrown just one interception in his last three games.

The rushing game for Kansas just isn’t working, and just in case it shows some glimmer of hope, Texas will be there to slap it down with the nation’s top-ranked rushing defense (1.7 ypc allowed). Their stop unit, combined with the special teams, has scored nine touchdowns on the season. Kick return specialist DJ Monroe (2 TD’s, 35.8-yard average) will give the Longhorns field position.

If there is anything with Texas that one has to worry about, it involves the running game, which has not been overly productive. Colt McCoy has thrown only one interception in the last three games and is still looking to build on his credentials for winning the Heisman.

In three of the last four meetings between these two teams, Texas has won by 28 points or more. Kansas gets another chance next week to secure bowl eligibility when it faces Missouri at Lawrence. None of this bodes particularly well for Kansas. However, Texas doesn’t need to impress anyone at the polls, since it is virtually assured a spot in the national championship game as long as it keeps winning, and Kansas, while outclassed against Oklahoma and Nebraska, has still not allowed things to get ridiculously out of hand. The Jayhawks aren’t as hopeless as all that, and the line may be a little bloated.

In what has to be a small recommendation, we’ll take the points with Kansas, the 27.5-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA football sportsbook odds.

OUR PLAY: KANSAS +27.5 *

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