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Wildcats vs. Jayhawks Preview/Pick

NCAA Football – Kansas State Wildcats at Kansas Jayhawks

Two teams looking to end two-game losing streaks will tangle on Saturday when the Kansas State Wildcats (4-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) visit Lawrence to play the Kansas Jayhawks (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) in an intra-state Big 12 contest in NCAA college football sports betting action that is set to kick off at 12:30 PM ET at Memorial Stadium (artificial turf).

BetUS NCAA Football Betting Odds: KANSAS -11.5

Here are some of the NCAA college football sports betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* KSU has covered two of its last six games
* KSU has lost four of its last six games SU
* KSU has played five of its last six gams OVER the total
* KSU has covered two of its last six road games
* KSU has lost six of its last seven road games SU
* KSU has played four of its last five road games OVER the total
* KAN has won 17 of its last 21 games SU
* KAN has won 13 of its last 15 home games SU

Also…

* KSU has won and covered 10 of the last 13 meetings
* KSU has won and covered four of the last six meetings as the road team

Last week’s game would sound like a complete and total embarrassment if we told you that Kansas State had given up 55 points in the first half to Oklahoma. But in reality, this game was a Pier 6 brawl for most of that first half, with the score 28-28 at one point. Yes, these Wildcats can trade blows, even with a damn good Oklahoma team. The bad news is that the running game just wasn’t there; Logan Dold had only 46 yards. And the Sooners trampled of the K-State defense for over six yards a carry and four TD runs.

Josh Freeman was all over the place on Saturday, throwing three touchdown passes but also tossing three interceptions. Freeman threw for a career-high 478 yards, and a lot of it was while the game was still competitive, which was until three minutes were left in the first half. He can produce, and he will find room against this Jayhawk defense that has been scorched the last two weeks for 886 yards by Oklahoma’s Sam Bradford and Texas Tech’s Graham Harrell.

K-State allows a yard per rushing attempt more than Kansas does, and that is something that can come in handy for the Jayhawks. Jake Sharp has contributed to what at least is some token balance in the KU offense, with 301 yards over the last three weeks. Todd Reesing (69% accurate) can sling it a bit, but he’s thrown five interceptions in the last two games. The feeling here is that Kansas, which has won 13 of its last 15 at home, is capable of bouncing back strong after being throttled by the Sooners and Red Raiders the last two outings, but that Freeman will keep throwing punches to the end, and that will keep it closer than the prescribed impost.

We’re taking the points with Kansas State, the 11.5-point underdog in the BetUS NCAAF odds.

Our PLAY: KANSAS STATE +11.5 **

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