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Week 10: Boilermakers vs. Wolverines Preview/Pick

NCAA Football Betting – Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan Wolverines

Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan Wolverines

Saturday, November 7, Noon ET
Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI

The Michigan Wolverines imploded last week in a devastating loss to the Illinois Fighting Illini that has Rich Rodriguez perhaps on the hot seat in Ann Arbor despite still being early in a total transformation of what was one of the most static programs in college football.

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Fans are now realizing that perhaps they were too hard on Lloyd Carr and his conservative style, considering he won Big Ten titles and a national championship despite some of his struggles.

As for Purdue Boilermakers, the mood was fairly upbeat in town considering the team defeated Ohio State under new coach Danny Hope and also almost beat Oregon on the road, a team that just walloped USC.

Signs of progress are being made but the feelings of “Same old Boilermakers” crept back in last week during a shocking blowout loss to Wisconsin.

Now, both programs face a key game in Ann Arbor. The Wolverines desperately need to win at least another game so Rodriguez can get a to a bowl, while Purdue would love to beat the Big Ten’s other flagship program to give recruiting a big boost.

The line on this one at BetUS.com has Michigan favored by 6 points at home in a projected high-scoring game with the over-under listed at 53 ½ points.

Michigan is 7-1 in their last 8 games against the spread vs. the Boilermakers and Purdue is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at Michigan Stadium. But you can almost throw those trends out the window as both have new regimes at the helm. This is a whole different ballgame.

Michigan’s defense is extremely porous in the back seven and Purdue should be able to pass the ball for good yards. Plus, their RB, Ralph Bolden, and QB, Joey Elliot, can both run some to keep Michigan off-balance.

On offense, Michigan should score a lot as well. Expect this game to be similar to last year’s wild one in which Purdue won on a hook-and-ladder play late at home in a shootout.

Michigan should pull it out on the strength of the home crowd and a superior run game but Purdue should be able to cover this spread considering how bad Michigan’s defense has been.

The pick: Purdue (-6) and the over (53 ½).

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