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Week 5: BYU vs. Utah St. Preview & Pick

The BYU Cougars and the Utah State Aggies will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday night football at Romney Stadium. Odds have the Cougars listed as 6-point favorites, the game’s total isn’t set yet. Here is a preview and free betting pick…

Week 5: BYU Cougars vs Utah State Aggies Free Week 5 College Football Pick

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Week 5: BYU vs. Utah State Preview & Odds
Date: Friday, Oct. 1, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Romney Stadium, Logan, UT
Broadcast: ESPN
Cougars vs. Aggies lines from Bodog.com
Cougars: -6
Aggies: +6
Total: N/A
Bet Now @ Bodog.com

Two struggling teams will go head to head on Friday when the BYU Cougars visit the Utah State Aggies. BYU is a six-point favorite despite hitting the road.

BYU (1-3) has to be relieved to be facing Utah State after getting dealt a pretty tough opening schedule with Washington, at Air Force, at Florida State and Nevada. The Cougars dropped the last three games both straight up and against the spread. Perhaps BYU needs some big change to reverse its fortunes, and it’ll get it in the form of a new starting quarterback.

Riley Nelson has been shut down with a shoulder injury, giving the job to freshman Jake Heaps.

He started in last week’s 27-13 loss to Nevada, completing 24 of his 45 passes for 229 yards and no touchdowns or interceptions. The Cougars did a solid job moving the ball, but they couldn’t capitalize; despite crossing Nevada’s 25-yard line on five occasions, they mustered just six points out of those opportunities.

The Cougars were carved up on the ground by Nevada, which rushed for 229 yards and two scores. Still, they limited Nevada’s high-powered attack to just three points in the second half, which is at least something to hang their hats on.

Utah State (1-3, 1-2 ATS), meanwhile, is trying to cope with an onslaught of injuries—eight starters have already been bitten by the injury bug, and it certainly showed in last week’s 41-7 loss to San Diego State.

It was a terribly disappointing result, especially since the Aggies hung with Oklahoma in their season-opening loss.

The Aggies struggled on both sides of the ball last week. The defense has been bad all year, and it proved why against San Diego State, allowing touchdowns on the Aztecs’ first three possessions. Utah State is desperate for a bigger pass rush after failing to sack San Diego State quarterback Ryan Lindley; he threw for 362 yards and three touchdowns.

Offensively, Utah State is having a very difficult time throwing the football. Diondre Borel completed just 14 of his 31 passes last weekend and he was sacked four times. Supposedly a dual threat, Borel couldn’t get it going on the ground, either.

He carried 18 times for just five yards.

Both teams are playing poorly, but Utah State is just too ravaged by injuries.

The Aggies have struggled to stop the pass, and Heaps might be exactly what the doctor ordered for BYU; he at least showed some flashes last week.

Gambling Trends:

BYU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

BYU (1 – 3) at UTAH ST (1 – 3) Pick: BYU -6

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By Ian Van Den Hurk

Ian Van Den Hurk has covered amateur and pro sports for years, including a successful run handicapping anything from football to mixed martial arts. Looking for more sports betting tips and expert sports handicapping articles from Ian V? We've got your back...